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要点 — NetherlandsとSerbia、どちらが上か?

Netherlands are favored over Serbia at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 46% win probability for Netherlands versus 34% for Serbia (and 20% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Netherlands's higher squad chemistry, though Serbia remain capable of an upset on tournament form.

結論

Netherlands hold a slight edge over Serbia, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Serbia possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.

主な違い:Netherlands vs Serbia

  • FIFA Ranking: Netherlands sit 25 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#7 vs #32).
  • Squad Chemistry: Netherlands have stronger squad cohesion (78/100 vs 72/100).
  • Average Squad Rating: Netherlands carry the higher average player rating (7.1 vs 6.7).
  • International Experience: Serbia bring more combined caps to the squad (752 vs 693).
  • World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.

どちらが勝つ?

当社のAIモデルは調子、スカッドの質、チームの結束を加味して、最も可能性の高い結果を予想します。

Netherlands 46%Draw 20%Serbia 34%

両者の比較

この対戦を左右しうる主要因を並べて比較します。数値は高いほど良好です(FIFAランキングのみ、低いほど強い)。

Netherlands
Serbia
7
FIFAランキング
32
78
連携
72
77
熟練度
70
73
安定性
64
76
モラル
73

これらの意味は?

  • 連携スカッドがひとつのまとまりとしてどれだけうまく機能するか。バルセロナのティキ・タカと、寄せ集めのオールスター集団との違いを思い浮かべてください。
  • 熟練度これらの選手が一緒にプレーしてきた期間の長さ。長年の共有経験を持つスカッドは、互いの動き出しを本能的に読み合います。
  • 安定性戦術システムと先発がどれだけ一貫しているか。頻繁な監督交代やフォーメーションの試行錯誤はこのスコアを下げます。
  • モラルスカッドの現在の自信と勢い。近年の勝利、サポーターの後押し、メディアの好意的な論調がすべて影響します。
🇳🇱

Netherlands

連携78
熟練度77
安定性73
モラル76
🇷🇸

Serbia

連携72
熟練度70
安定性64
モラル73

スカッド比較

Netherlands
Serbia
23
スカッド人数
23
7.1
平均レーティング
6.7
693
通算キャップ数
752
118
通算得点
134

主要選手の対決

ワールドカップの歴史

Netherlands
Serbia
11
出場回数
3
0
優勝回数
0
29
WC勝利数
2
50
WC試合数
12
Runners-up
最高成績
Group stage

Netherlands vs Serbia — よくある質問

Who is favored to win between Netherlands and Serbia at the 2026 World Cup?

Netherlands are favored, with a 46% projected win probability versus 34% for Serbia and a 20% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.

What are Netherlands's strongest attributes versus Serbia?

Netherlands lead Serbia in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability, squad morale. Serbia do not lead in any of the four chemistry metrics.

What is the World Cup history of Netherlands versus Serbia?

Netherlands have appeared in 11 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Serbia have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Netherlands's best finish is Runners-up; Serbia's best finish is Group stage.

Have Netherlands and Serbia faced each other in major international competition?

Netherlands and Serbia have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.

Which players will define the Netherlands versus Serbia match?

Cody Gakpo (Netherlands, Liverpool, rated 7.8/10) and Dušan Vlahović (Serbia, Juventus, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.

Which squad has more international experience: Netherlands or Serbia?

Serbia carry the more experienced squad, with 752 combined senior caps versus 693 for Netherlands. Average squad rating is 7.1 for Netherlands and 6.7 for Serbia.

関連する比較

Netherlands vs Serbia:ワールドカップ2026 直接対決比較 | KickOracle