要点 — AustraliaとSerbia、どちらが上か？
Australia are favored over Serbia at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 45% win probability for Australia versus 38% for Serbia (and 17% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Australia's stronger FIFA ranking, though Serbia remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
結論
Australia hold a slight edge over Serbia, driven primarily by their higher FIFA ranking. However, Serbia possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
主な違い：Australia vs Serbia
- •FIFA Ranking: Australia sit 8 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#24 vs #32).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Australia 71, Serbia 72).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Australia 6.6, Serbia 6.7).
- •International Experience: Serbia bring more combined caps to the squad (752 vs 617).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
どちらが勝つ？
当社のAIモデルは調子、スカッドの質、チームの結束を加味して、最も可能性の高い結果を予想します。
両者の比較
この対戦を左右しうる主要因を並べて比較します。数値は高いほど良好です（FIFAランキングのみ、低いほど強い）。
これらの意味は？
- 連携 — スカッドがひとつのまとまりとしてどれだけうまく機能するか。バルセロナのティキ・タカと、寄せ集めのオールスター集団との違いを思い浮かべてください。
- 熟練度 — これらの選手が一緒にプレーしてきた期間の長さ。長年の共有経験を持つスカッドは、互いの動き出しを本能的に読み合います。
- 安定性 — 戦術システムと先発がどれだけ一貫しているか。頻繁な監督交代やフォーメーションの試行錯誤はこのスコアを下げます。
- モラル — スカッドの現在の自信と勢い。近年の勝利、サポーターの後押し、メディアの好意的な論調がすべて影響します。
Australia
Serbia
スカッド比較
主要選手の対決
ワールドカップの歴史
Australia vs Serbia — よくある質問
Who is favored to win between Australia and Serbia at the 2026 World Cup?
Australia are favored, with a 45% projected win probability versus 37% for Serbia and a 17% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Australia's strongest attributes versus Serbia?
Australia lead Serbia in tactical stability, squad morale. Serbia, in turn, have the edge in squad chemistry, team familiarity.
What is the World Cup history of Australia versus Serbia?
Australia have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Serbia have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Australia's best finish is Round of 16; Serbia's best finish is Group stage.
Have Australia and Serbia faced each other in major international competition?
Australia and Serbia have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Australia versus Serbia match?
Nestory Irankunda (Australia, Bayern Munich, rated 6.9/10) and Dušan Vlahović (Serbia, Juventus, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Australia or Serbia?
Serbia carry the more experienced squad, with 752 combined senior caps versus 617 for Australia. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Australia and 6.7 for Serbia.