要点 — MexicoとSerbia、どちらが上か？
Mexico are favored over Serbia at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 46% win probability for Mexico versus 37% for Serbia (and 17% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Mexico's stronger FIFA ranking, though Serbia remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
結論
Mexico hold a slight edge over Serbia, driven primarily by their higher FIFA ranking. However, Serbia possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
主な違い：Mexico vs Serbia
- •FIFA Ranking: Mexico sit 17 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#15 vs #32).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Mexico 72, Serbia 72).
- •Average Squad Rating: Mexico carry the higher average player rating (6.9 vs 6.7).
- •International Experience: Mexico bring more combined caps to the squad (939 vs 752).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
どちらが勝つ？
当社のAIモデルは調子、スカッドの質、チームの結束を加味して、最も可能性の高い結果を予想します。
両者の比較
この対戦を左右しうる主要因を並べて比較します。数値は高いほど良好です（FIFAランキングのみ、低いほど強い）。
これらの意味は？
- 連携 — スカッドがひとつのまとまりとしてどれだけうまく機能するか。バルセロナのティキ・タカと、寄せ集めのオールスター集団との違いを思い浮かべてください。
- 熟練度 — これらの選手が一緒にプレーしてきた期間の長さ。長年の共有経験を持つスカッドは、互いの動き出しを本能的に読み合います。
- 安定性 — 戦術システムと先発がどれだけ一貫しているか。頻繁な監督交代やフォーメーションの試行錯誤はこのスコアを下げます。
- モラル — スカッドの現在の自信と勢い。近年の勝利、サポーターの後押し、メディアの好意的な論調がすべて影響します。
Mexico
Serbia
スカッド比較
主要選手の対決
ワールドカップの歴史
Mexico vs Serbia — よくある質問
Who is favored to win between Mexico and Serbia at the 2026 World Cup?
Mexico are favored, with a 46% projected win probability versus 37% for Serbia and a 17% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Mexico's strongest attributes versus Serbia?
Mexico lead Serbia in team familiarity, tactical stability, squad morale. Serbia do not lead in any of the four chemistry metrics.
What is the World Cup history of Mexico versus Serbia?
Mexico have appeared in 17 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Serbia have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Mexico's best finish is Quarter-finals; Serbia's best finish is Group stage.
Have Mexico and Serbia faced each other in major international competition?
Mexico and Serbia have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Mexico versus Serbia match?
Santiago Giménez (Mexico, Feyenoord, rated 7.5/10) and Dušan Vlahović (Serbia, Juventus, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Mexico or Serbia?
Mexico carry the more experienced squad, with 939 combined senior caps versus 752 for Serbia. Average squad rating is 6.9 for Mexico and 6.7 for Serbia.