要点 — ItalyとSerbia、どちらが上か？
Italy are favored over Serbia at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 45% win probability for Italy versus 37% for Serbia (and 18% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Italy's higher squad chemistry, though Serbia remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
結論
Italy hold a slight edge over Serbia, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Serbia possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
主な違い：Italy vs Serbia
- •FIFA Ranking: Italy sit 23 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#9 vs #32).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Italy 74, Serbia 72).
- •Average Squad Rating: Italy carry the higher average player rating (7 vs 6.7).
- •International Experience: Serbia bring more combined caps to the squad (752 vs 632).
- •World Cup Titles: Italy have won 4 World Cups; Serbia have 0.
どちらが勝つ？
当社のAIモデルは調子、スカッドの質、チームの結束を加味して、最も可能性の高い結果を予想します。
両者の比較
この対戦を左右しうる主要因を並べて比較します。数値は高いほど良好です（FIFAランキングのみ、低いほど強い）。
これらの意味は？
- 連携 — スカッドがひとつのまとまりとしてどれだけうまく機能するか。バルセロナのティキ・タカと、寄せ集めのオールスター集団との違いを思い浮かべてください。
- 熟練度 — これらの選手が一緒にプレーしてきた期間の長さ。長年の共有経験を持つスカッドは、互いの動き出しを本能的に読み合います。
- 安定性 — 戦術システムと先発がどれだけ一貫しているか。頻繁な監督交代やフォーメーションの試行錯誤はこのスコアを下げます。
- モラル — スカッドの現在の自信と勢い。近年の勝利、サポーターの後押し、メディアの好意的な論調がすべて影響します。
Italy
Serbia
スカッド比較
主要選手の対決
ワールドカップの歴史
Italy vs Serbia — よくある質問
Who is favored to win between Italy and Serbia at the 2026 World Cup?
Italy are favored, with a 45% projected win probability versus 38% for Serbia and a 18% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Italy's strongest attributes versus Serbia?
Italy lead Serbia in squad chemistry, squad morale. Serbia, in turn, have the edge in tactical stability.
What is the World Cup history of Italy versus Serbia?
Italy have appeared in 18 FIFA World Cups and won 4 titles; Serbia have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Italy's best finish is Winners; Serbia's best finish is Group stage.
Have Italy and Serbia faced each other in major international competition?
Italy and Serbia have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Italy versus Serbia match?
Federico Chiesa (Italy, Liverpool, rated 7.3/10) and Dušan Vlahović (Serbia, Juventus, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Italy or Serbia?
Serbia carry the more experienced squad, with 752 combined senior caps versus 632 for Italy. Average squad rating is 7 for Italy and 6.7 for Serbia.