要点 — IranとSerbia、どちらが上か？
Iran are favored over Serbia at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 44% win probability for Iran versus 39% for Serbia (and 17% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Iran's higher squad chemistry, though Serbia remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
結論
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Iran and Serbia are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
主な違い：Iran vs Serbia
- •FIFA Ranking: Iran sit 12 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#20 vs #32).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Iran 73, Serbia 72).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Iran 6.6, Serbia 6.7).
- •International Experience: Iran bring more combined caps to the squad (1208 vs 752).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
どちらが勝つ？
当社のAIモデルは調子、スカッドの質、チームの結束を加味して、最も可能性の高い結果を予想します。
両者の比較
この対戦を左右しうる主要因を並べて比較します。数値は高いほど良好です（FIFAランキングのみ、低いほど強い）。
これらの意味は？
- 連携 — スカッドがひとつのまとまりとしてどれだけうまく機能するか。バルセロナのティキ・タカと、寄せ集めのオールスター集団との違いを思い浮かべてください。
- 熟練度 — これらの選手が一緒にプレーしてきた期間の長さ。長年の共有経験を持つスカッドは、互いの動き出しを本能的に読み合います。
- 安定性 — 戦術システムと先発がどれだけ一貫しているか。頻繁な監督交代やフォーメーションの試行錯誤はこのスコアを下げます。
- モラル — スカッドの現在の自信と勢い。近年の勝利、サポーターの後押し、メディアの好意的な論調がすべて影響します。
Iran
Serbia
スカッド比較
主要選手の対決
ワールドカップの歴史
Iran vs Serbia — よくある質問
Who is favored to win between Iran and Serbia at the 2026 World Cup?
Iran are favored, with a 44% projected win probability versus 39% for Serbia and a 17% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Iran's strongest attributes versus Serbia?
Iran lead Serbia in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability. Serbia, in turn, have the edge in squad morale.
What is the World Cup history of Iran versus Serbia?
Iran have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Serbia have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Iran's best finish is Group stage; Serbia's best finish is Group stage.
Have Iran and Serbia faced each other in major international competition?
Iran and Serbia have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Iran versus Serbia match?
Mehdi Taremi (Iran, Inter Milan, rated 7.5/10) and Dušan Vlahović (Serbia, Juventus, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Iran or Serbia?
Iran carry the more experienced squad, with 1208 combined senior caps versus 752 for Serbia. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Iran and 6.7 for Serbia.