Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Serbia oder Turkey?
Turkey are favored over Serbia at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 43% win probability for Turkey versus 36% for Serbia (and 21% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Turkey's stronger FIFA ranking, though Serbia remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
Das Fazit
Turkey hold a slight edge over Serbia, driven primarily by their higher FIFA ranking. However, Serbia possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
Zentrale Unterschiede: Serbia vs Turkey
- •FIFA Ranking: Turkey sit 6 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#26 vs #32).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Serbia 72, Turkey 72).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Serbia 6.7, Turkey 6.8).
- •International Experience: Serbia bring more combined caps to the squad (752 vs 691).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
Serbia
Turkey
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
Serbia vs Turkey – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between Serbia and Turkey at the 2026 World Cup?
Turkey are favored, with a 43% projected win probability versus 37% for Serbia and a 21% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Serbia's strongest attributes versus Turkey?
Serbia lead Turkey in team familiarity, tactical stability. Turkey, in turn, have the edge in squad morale.
What is the World Cup history of Serbia versus Turkey?
Serbia have appeared in 3 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Turkey have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Serbia's best finish is Group stage; Turkey's best finish is Third place.
Have Serbia and Turkey faced each other in major international competition?
Serbia and Turkey have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Serbia versus Turkey match?
Dušan Vlahović (Serbia, Juventus, rated 7.5/10) and Kenan Yıldız (Turkey, Juventus, rated 7.1/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Serbia or Turkey?
Serbia carry the more experienced squad, with 752 combined senior caps versus 691 for Turkey. Average squad rating is 6.7 for Serbia and 6.8 for Turkey.