Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Senegal oder Spain?
Spain are favored over Senegal at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 44% win probability for Spain versus 37% for Senegal (and 19% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Spain's higher squad chemistry, though Senegal remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
Das Fazit
Spain hold a slight edge over Senegal, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Senegal possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
Zentrale Unterschiede: Senegal vs Spain
- •FIFA Ranking: Spain sit 15 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#2 vs #17).
- •Squad Chemistry: Spain have stronger squad cohesion (86/100 vs 77/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: Spain carry the higher average player rating (7.1 vs 6.7).
- •International Experience: Senegal bring more combined caps to the squad (777 vs 667).
- •World Cup Titles: Spain have won 1 World Cup; Senegal have 0.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
Senegal
Spain
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
Senegal vs Spain – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between Senegal and Spain at the 2026 World Cup?
Spain are favored, with a 44% projected win probability versus 37% for Senegal and a 19% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Senegal's strongest attributes versus Spain?
Senegal do not lead Spain in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Senegal will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Spain's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of Senegal versus Spain?
Senegal have appeared in 3 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Spain have appeared in 16 World Cups and won 1 title. Senegal's best finish is Quarter-finals; Spain's best finish is Winners.
Have Senegal and Spain faced each other in major international competition?
Senegal and Spain have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Senegal versus Spain match?
Ismaila Sarr (Senegal, Crystal Palace, rated 7.1/10) and Lamine Yamal (Spain, Barcelona, rated 8.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Senegal or Spain?
Senegal carry the more experienced squad, with 777 combined senior caps versus 667 for Spain. Average squad rating is 6.7 for Senegal and 7.1 for Spain.