Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Paraguay oder Ukraine?
Ukraine are favored over Paraguay at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 49% win probability for Ukraine versus 33% for Paraguay (and 18% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Ukraine's higher squad chemistry, though Paraguay remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
Das Fazit
Ukraine are clear favorites against Paraguay based on current form, squad depth, and predictive metrics. Ukraine's competitive strength and outstanding chemistry give them a significant advantage. Paraguay will need a historic performance to overcome the odds.
Zentrale Unterschiede: Paraguay vs Ukraine
- •FIFA Ranking: Ukraine sit 30 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#22 vs #52).
- •Squad Chemistry: Ukraine have stronger squad cohesion (80/100 vs 66/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: Ukraine carry the higher average player rating (6.8 vs 6.6).
- •International Experience: Ukraine bring more combined caps to the squad (772 vs 604).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
Paraguay
Ukraine
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
Paraguay vs Ukraine – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between Paraguay and Ukraine at the 2026 World Cup?
Ukraine are favored, with a 49% projected win probability versus 33% for Paraguay and a 18% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Paraguay's strongest attributes versus Ukraine?
Paraguay do not lead Ukraine in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Paraguay will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Ukraine's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of Paraguay versus Ukraine?
Paraguay have appeared in 9 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Ukraine have appeared in 1 World Cups and won 0 titles. Paraguay's best finish is Quarter-finals; Ukraine's best finish is Quarter-finals.
Have Paraguay and Ukraine faced each other in major international competition?
Paraguay and Ukraine have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Paraguay versus Ukraine match?
Julio Enciso (Paraguay, Brighton, rated 7/10) and Artem Dovbyk (Ukraine, Roma, rated 7.3/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Paraguay or Ukraine?
Ukraine carry the more experienced squad, with 772 combined senior caps versus 604 for Paraguay. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Paraguay and 6.8 for Ukraine.