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Die WM 2026 läuft

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Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Panama oder USA?

USA are favored over Panama at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 54% win probability for USA versus 30% for Panama (and 16% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by USA's higher squad chemistry, though Panama remain capable of an upset on tournament form.

Das Fazit

USA are clear favorites against Panama based on current form, squad depth, and predictive metrics. USA's competitive strength and outstanding chemistry give them a significant advantage. Panama will need a historic performance to overcome the odds.

Zentrale Unterschiede: Panama vs USA

  • FIFA Ranking: USA sit 44 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#11 vs #55).
  • Squad Chemistry: USA have stronger squad cohesion (78/100 vs 65/100).
  • Average Squad Rating: USA carry the higher average player rating (6.9 vs 6.5).
  • International Experience: Panama bring more combined caps to the squad (830 vs 661).
  • World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.

Wer gewinnt?

Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.

Panama 30%Draw 16%USA 54%

So schneiden sie ab

Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).

Panama
USA
55
FIFA-Ranking
11
65
Chemistry
78
66
Vertrautheit
72
62
Stabilität
70
80
Moral
90

Was bedeuten diese Werte?

  • ChemistryWie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
  • VertrautheitWie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
  • StabilitätWie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
  • MoralDas aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
🇵🇦

Panama

Chemistry65
Vertrautheit66
Stabilität62
Moral80
🇺🇸

USA

Chemistry78
Vertrautheit72
Stabilität70
Moral90

Kadervergleich

Panama
USA
23
Kadergröße
23
6.5
Ø-Bewertung
6.9
830
Länderspiele gesamt
661
52
Tore gesamt
87

Zentrale Spieler-Duelle

WM-Historie

Panama
USA
1
Teilnahmen
11
0
Titel
0
0
WM-Siege
11
3
WM-Spiele
37
Group stage
Bestes Ergebnis
Semi-finals

Panama vs USA – Häufig gestellte Fragen

Who is favored to win between Panama and USA at the 2026 World Cup?

USA are favored, with a 54% projected win probability versus 30% for Panama and a 16% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.

What are Panama's strongest attributes versus USA?

Panama do not lead USA in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Panama will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome USA's edge in team cohesion.

What is the World Cup history of Panama versus USA?

Panama have appeared in 1 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; USA have appeared in 11 World Cups and won 0 titles. Panama's best finish is Group stage; USA's best finish is Semi-finals.

Have Panama and USA faced each other in major international competition?

Panama and USA have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.

Which players will define the Panama versus USA match?

José Fajardo (Panama, Saprissa, rated 6.7/10) and Tim Weah (USA, Juventus, rated 7.1/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.

Which squad has more international experience: Panama or USA?

Panama carry the more experienced squad, with 830 combined senior caps versus 661 for USA. Average squad rating is 6.5 for Panama and 6.9 for USA.

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