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Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Panama oder Spain?

Spain are favored over Panama at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 49% win probability for Spain versus 32% for Panama (and 19% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Spain's higher squad chemistry, though Panama remain capable of an upset on tournament form.

Das Fazit

Spain are clear favorites against Panama based on current form, squad depth, and predictive metrics. Spain's elite ranking and outstanding chemistry give them a significant advantage. Panama will need a historic performance to overcome the odds.

Zentrale Unterschiede: Panama vs Spain

  • FIFA Ranking: Spain sit 53 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#2 vs #55).
  • Squad Chemistry: Spain have stronger squad cohesion (86/100 vs 65/100).
  • Average Squad Rating: Spain carry the higher average player rating (7.1 vs 6.5).
  • International Experience: Panama bring more combined caps to the squad (830 vs 667).
  • World Cup Titles: Spain have won 1 World Cup; Panama have 0.

Wer gewinnt?

Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.

Panama 31%Draw 19%Spain 49%

So schneiden sie ab

Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).

Panama
Spain
55
FIFA-Ranking
2
65
Chemistry
86
66
Vertrautheit
85
62
Stabilität
83
80
Moral
90

Was bedeuten diese Werte?

  • ChemistryWie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
  • VertrautheitWie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
  • StabilitätWie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
  • MoralDas aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
🇵🇦

Panama

Chemistry65
Vertrautheit66
Stabilität62
Moral80
🇪🇸

Spain

Chemistry86
Vertrautheit85
Stabilität83
Moral90

Kadervergleich

Panama
Spain
23
Kadergröße
23
6.5
Ø-Bewertung
7.1
830
Länderspiele gesamt
667
52
Tore gesamt
119

Zentrale Spieler-Duelle

WM-Historie

Panama
Spain
1
Teilnahmen
16
0
Titel
1
0
WM-Siege
31
3
WM-Spiele
67
Group stage
Bestes Ergebnis
Winners

Panama vs Spain – Häufig gestellte Fragen

Who is favored to win between Panama and Spain at the 2026 World Cup?

Spain are favored, with a 49% projected win probability versus 31% for Panama and a 19% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.

What are Panama's strongest attributes versus Spain?

Panama do not lead Spain in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Panama will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Spain's edge in team cohesion.

What is the World Cup history of Panama versus Spain?

Panama have appeared in 1 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Spain have appeared in 16 World Cups and won 1 title. Panama's best finish is Group stage; Spain's best finish is Winners.

Have Panama and Spain faced each other in major international competition?

Panama and Spain have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.

Which players will define the Panama versus Spain match?

José Fajardo (Panama, Saprissa, rated 6.7/10) and Lamine Yamal (Spain, Barcelona, rated 8.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.

Which squad has more international experience: Panama or Spain?

Panama carry the more experienced squad, with 830 combined senior caps versus 667 for Spain. Average squad rating is 6.5 for Panama and 7.1 for Spain.

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