Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Japan oder Serbia?
Japan are favored over Serbia at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 44% win probability for Japan versus 37% for Serbia (and 19% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Japan's higher squad chemistry, though Serbia remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
Das Fazit
Japan hold a slight edge over Serbia, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Serbia possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
Zentrale Unterschiede: Japan vs Serbia
- •FIFA Ranking: Japan sit 19 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#13 vs #32).
- •Squad Chemistry: Japan have stronger squad cohesion (82/100 vs 72/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: Japan carry the higher average player rating (6.9 vs 6.7).
- •International Experience: Serbia bring more combined caps to the squad (752 vs 668).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
Japan
Serbia
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
Japan vs Serbia – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between Japan and Serbia at the 2026 World Cup?
Japan are favored, with a 44% projected win probability versus 37% for Serbia and a 19% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Japan's strongest attributes versus Serbia?
Japan lead Serbia in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability, squad morale. Serbia do not lead in any of the four chemistry metrics.
What is the World Cup history of Japan versus Serbia?
Japan have appeared in 7 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Serbia have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Japan's best finish is Round of 16; Serbia's best finish is Group stage.
Have Japan and Serbia faced each other in major international competition?
Japan and Serbia have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Japan versus Serbia match?
Takefusa Kubo (Japan, Real Sociedad, rated 7.5/10) and Dušan Vlahović (Serbia, Juventus, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Japan or Serbia?
Serbia carry the more experienced squad, with 752 combined senior caps versus 668 for Japan. Average squad rating is 6.9 for Japan and 6.7 for Serbia.