Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Iran oder Turkey?
Iran and Turkey are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Iran a slim 44% win probability versus Turkey, with a 15% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.2 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.
Das Fazit
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Iran and Turkey are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Zentrale Unterschiede: Iran vs Turkey
- •FIFA Ranking: Iran sit 6 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#20 vs #26).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Iran 73, Turkey 72).
- •Average Squad Rating: Turkey carry the higher average player rating (6.8 vs 6.6).
- •International Experience: Iran bring more combined caps to the squad (1208 vs 691).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
Iran
Turkey
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
Iran vs Turkey – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between Iran and Turkey at the 2026 World Cup?
Iran and Turkey are essentially even. Our AI model gives Iran a slight 44% win probability versus 42% for Turkey, with a 15% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.
What are Iran's strongest attributes versus Turkey?
Iran lead Turkey in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability. Turkey, in turn, have the edge in squad morale.
What is the World Cup history of Iran versus Turkey?
Iran have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Turkey have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Iran's best finish is Group stage; Turkey's best finish is Third place.
Have Iran and Turkey faced each other in major international competition?
Iran and Turkey have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Iran versus Turkey match?
Mehdi Taremi (Iran, Inter Milan, rated 7.5/10) and Kenan Yıldız (Turkey, Juventus, rated 7.1/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Iran or Turkey?
Iran carry the more experienced squad, with 1208 combined senior caps versus 691 for Turkey. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Iran and 6.8 for Turkey.