Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Iran oder Spain?
Spain are favored over Iran at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 45% win probability for Spain versus 35% for Iran (and 20% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Spain's higher squad chemistry, though Iran remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
Das Fazit
Spain hold a slight edge over Iran, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Iran possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their tactical stability translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
Zentrale Unterschiede: Iran vs Spain
- •FIFA Ranking: Spain sit 18 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#2 vs #20).
- •Squad Chemistry: Spain have stronger squad cohesion (86/100 vs 73/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: Spain carry the higher average player rating (7.1 vs 6.6).
- •International Experience: Iran bring more combined caps to the squad (1208 vs 667).
- •World Cup Titles: Spain have won 1 World Cup; Iran have 0.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
Iran
Spain
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
Iran vs Spain – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between Iran and Spain at the 2026 World Cup?
Spain are favored, with a 45% projected win probability versus 35% for Iran and a 20% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Iran's strongest attributes versus Spain?
Iran do not lead Spain in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Iran will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Spain's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of Iran versus Spain?
Iran have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Spain have appeared in 16 World Cups and won 1 title. Iran's best finish is Group stage; Spain's best finish is Winners.
Have Iran and Spain faced each other in major international competition?
Iran and Spain have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Iran versus Spain match?
Mehdi Taremi (Iran, Inter Milan, rated 7.5/10) and Lamine Yamal (Spain, Barcelona, rated 8.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Iran or Spain?
Iran carry the more experienced squad, with 1208 combined senior caps versus 667 for Spain. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Iran and 7.1 for Spain.