Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Iran oder Serbia?
Iran are favored over Serbia at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 44% win probability for Iran versus 39% for Serbia (and 17% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Iran's higher squad chemistry, though Serbia remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
Das Fazit
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Iran and Serbia are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Zentrale Unterschiede: Iran vs Serbia
- •FIFA Ranking: Iran sit 12 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#20 vs #32).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Iran 73, Serbia 72).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Iran 6.6, Serbia 6.7).
- •International Experience: Iran bring more combined caps to the squad (1208 vs 752).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
Iran
Serbia
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
Iran vs Serbia – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between Iran and Serbia at the 2026 World Cup?
Iran are favored, with a 44% projected win probability versus 39% for Serbia and a 17% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Iran's strongest attributes versus Serbia?
Iran lead Serbia in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability. Serbia, in turn, have the edge in squad morale.
What is the World Cup history of Iran versus Serbia?
Iran have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Serbia have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Iran's best finish is Group stage; Serbia's best finish is Group stage.
Have Iran and Serbia faced each other in major international competition?
Iran and Serbia have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Iran versus Serbia match?
Mehdi Taremi (Iran, Inter Milan, rated 7.5/10) and Dušan Vlahović (Serbia, Juventus, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Iran or Serbia?
Iran carry the more experienced squad, with 1208 combined senior caps versus 752 for Serbia. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Iran and 6.7 for Serbia.