Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Iran oder Senegal?
Iran and Senegal are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Iran a slim 40% win probability versus Senegal, with a 20% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.1 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.
Das Fazit
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Iran and Senegal are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Zentrale Unterschiede: Iran vs Senegal
- •FIFA Ranking: Senegal sit 3 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#17 vs #20).
- •Squad Chemistry: Senegal have stronger squad cohesion (77/100 vs 73/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Iran 6.6, Senegal 6.7).
- •International Experience: Iran bring more combined caps to the squad (1208 vs 777).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
Iran
Senegal
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
Iran vs Senegal – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between Iran and Senegal at the 2026 World Cup?
Iran and Senegal are essentially even. Our AI model gives Iran a slight 40% win probability versus 40% for Senegal, with a 20% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.
What are Iran's strongest attributes versus Senegal?
Iran do not lead Senegal in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Iran will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Senegal's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of Iran versus Senegal?
Iran have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Senegal have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Iran's best finish is Group stage; Senegal's best finish is Quarter-finals.
Have Iran and Senegal faced each other in major international competition?
Iran and Senegal have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Iran versus Senegal match?
Mehdi Taremi (Iran, Inter Milan, rated 7.5/10) and Ismaila Sarr (Senegal, Crystal Palace, rated 7.1/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Iran or Senegal?
Iran carry the more experienced squad, with 1208 combined senior caps versus 777 for Senegal. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Iran and 6.7 for Senegal.