Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Iran oder Netherlands?
Netherlands are favored over Iran at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 45% win probability for Netherlands versus 36% for Iran (and 19% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Netherlands's higher squad chemistry, though Iran remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
Das Fazit
Netherlands hold a slight edge over Iran, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Iran possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their tactical stability translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
Zentrale Unterschiede: Iran vs Netherlands
- •FIFA Ranking: Netherlands sit 13 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#7 vs #20).
- •Squad Chemistry: Netherlands have stronger squad cohesion (78/100 vs 73/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: Netherlands carry the higher average player rating (7.1 vs 6.6).
- •International Experience: Iran bring more combined caps to the squad (1208 vs 693).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
Iran
Netherlands
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
Iran vs Netherlands – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between Iran and Netherlands at the 2026 World Cup?
Netherlands are favored, with a 45% projected win probability versus 36% for Iran and a 19% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Iran's strongest attributes versus Netherlands?
Iran do not lead Netherlands in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Iran will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Netherlands's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of Iran versus Netherlands?
Iran have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Netherlands have appeared in 11 World Cups and won 0 titles. Iran's best finish is Group stage; Netherlands's best finish is Runners-up.
Have Iran and Netherlands faced each other in major international competition?
Iran and Netherlands have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Iran versus Netherlands match?
Mehdi Taremi (Iran, Inter Milan, rated 7.5/10) and Cody Gakpo (Netherlands, Liverpool, rated 7.8/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Iran or Netherlands?
Iran carry the more experienced squad, with 1208 combined senior caps versus 693 for Netherlands. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Iran and 7.1 for Netherlands.