Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Haiti oder USA?
USA are favored over Haiti at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 54% win probability for USA versus 26% for Haiti (and 20% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by USA's higher squad chemistry, though Haiti remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
Das Fazit
USA are clear favorites against Haiti based on current form, squad depth, and predictive metrics. USA's competitive strength and outstanding chemistry give them a significant advantage. Haiti will need a historic performance to overcome the odds.
Zentrale Unterschiede: Haiti vs USA
- •FIFA Ranking: USA sit 75 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#11 vs #86).
- •Squad Chemistry: USA have stronger squad cohesion (78/100 vs 60/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: USA carry the higher average player rating (6.9 vs 6.5).
- •International Experience: USA bring more combined caps to the squad (661 vs 435).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
Haiti
USA
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
Haiti vs USA – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between Haiti and USA at the 2026 World Cup?
USA are favored, with a 54% projected win probability versus 25% for Haiti and a 20% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Haiti's strongest attributes versus USA?
Haiti do not lead USA in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Haiti will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome USA's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of Haiti versus USA?
Haiti have appeared in 1 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; USA have appeared in 11 World Cups and won 0 titles. Haiti's best finish is Group stage; USA's best finish is Semi-finals.
Have Haiti and USA faced each other in major international competition?
Haiti and USA have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Haiti versus USA match?
Derrick Étienne Jr. (Haiti, Columbus Crew, rated 7/10) and Tim Weah (USA, Juventus, rated 7.1/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Haiti or USA?
USA carry the more experienced squad, with 661 combined senior caps versus 435 for Haiti. Average squad rating is 6.5 for Haiti and 6.9 for USA.