Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Haiti oder Spain?
Spain are favored over Haiti at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 55% win probability for Spain versus 25% for Haiti (and 20% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Spain's higher squad chemistry, though Haiti remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
Das Fazit
Spain are clear favorites against Haiti based on current form, squad depth, and predictive metrics. Spain's elite ranking and outstanding chemistry give them a significant advantage. Haiti will need a historic performance to overcome the odds.
Zentrale Unterschiede: Haiti vs Spain
- •FIFA Ranking: Spain sit 84 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#2 vs #86).
- •Squad Chemistry: Spain have stronger squad cohesion (86/100 vs 60/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: Spain carry the higher average player rating (7.1 vs 6.5).
- •International Experience: Spain bring more combined caps to the squad (667 vs 435).
- •World Cup Titles: Spain have won 1 World Cup; Haiti have 0.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
Haiti
Spain
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
Haiti vs Spain – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between Haiti and Spain at the 2026 World Cup?
Spain are favored, with a 55% projected win probability versus 26% for Haiti and a 20% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Haiti's strongest attributes versus Spain?
Haiti do not lead Spain in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Haiti will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Spain's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of Haiti versus Spain?
Haiti have appeared in 1 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Spain have appeared in 16 World Cups and won 1 title. Haiti's best finish is Group stage; Spain's best finish is Winners.
Have Haiti and Spain faced each other in major international competition?
Haiti and Spain have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Haiti versus Spain match?
Derrick Étienne Jr. (Haiti, Columbus Crew, rated 7/10) and Lamine Yamal (Spain, Barcelona, rated 8.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Haiti or Spain?
Spain carry the more experienced squad, with 667 combined senior caps versus 435 for Haiti. Average squad rating is 6.5 for Haiti and 7.1 for Spain.