Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, England oder Portugal?
England and Portugal are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Portugal a slim 44% win probability versus England, with a 17% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.1 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.
Das Fazit
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both England and Portugal are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Zentrale Unterschiede: England vs Portugal
- •FIFA Ranking: England sit 1 place higher on the FIFA ranking (#5 vs #6).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (England 77, Portugal 76).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (England 7.2, Portugal 7.1).
- •International Experience: Portugal bring more combined caps to the squad (1116 vs 719).
- •World Cup Titles: England have won 1 World Cup; Portugal have 0.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
England
Portugal
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
England vs Portugal – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between England and Portugal at the 2026 World Cup?
England and Portugal are essentially even. Our AI model gives Portugal a slight 44% win probability versus 40% for England, with a 17% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.
What are England's strongest attributes versus Portugal?
England lead Portugal in squad chemistry, squad morale. Portugal, in turn, have the edge in team familiarity, tactical stability.
What is the World Cup history of England versus Portugal?
England have appeared in 16 FIFA World Cups and won 1 title; Portugal have appeared in 8 World Cups and won 0 titles. England's best finish is Winners; Portugal's best finish is Third place.
Have England and Portugal faced each other in major international competition?
England and Portugal have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the England versus Portugal match?
Bukayo Saka (England, Arsenal, rated 8.2/10) and Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal, Al-Nassr, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: England or Portugal?
Portugal carry the more experienced squad, with 1116 combined senior caps versus 719 for England. Average squad rating is 7.2 for England and 7.1 for Portugal.