Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, England oder Netherlands?
England and Netherlands are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Netherlands a slim 42% win probability versus England, with a 17% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.1 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.
Das Fazit
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both England and Netherlands are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Zentrale Unterschiede: England vs Netherlands
- •FIFA Ranking: England sit 2 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#5 vs #7).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (England 77, Netherlands 78).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (England 7.2, Netherlands 7.1).
- •International Experience: England bring more combined caps to the squad (719 vs 693).
- •World Cup Titles: England have won 1 World Cup; Netherlands have 0.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
England
Netherlands
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
England vs Netherlands – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between England and Netherlands at the 2026 World Cup?
England and Netherlands are essentially even. Our AI model gives Netherlands a slight 42% win probability versus 41% for England, with a 17% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.
What are England's strongest attributes versus Netherlands?
England lead Netherlands in squad morale. Netherlands, in turn, have the edge in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability.
What is the World Cup history of England versus Netherlands?
England have appeared in 16 FIFA World Cups and won 1 title; Netherlands have appeared in 11 World Cups and won 0 titles. England's best finish is Winners; Netherlands's best finish is Runners-up.
Have England and Netherlands faced each other in major international competition?
England and Netherlands have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the England versus Netherlands match?
Bukayo Saka (England, Arsenal, rated 8.2/10) and Cody Gakpo (Netherlands, Liverpool, rated 7.8/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: England or Netherlands?
England carry the more experienced squad, with 719 combined senior caps versus 693 for Netherlands. Average squad rating is 7.2 for England and 7.1 for Netherlands.