Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, England oder Iran?
England are favored over Iran at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 44% win probability for England versus 39% for Iran (and 17% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by England's higher squad chemistry, though Iran remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
Das Fazit
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both England and Iran are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Zentrale Unterschiede: England vs Iran
- •FIFA Ranking: England sit 15 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#5 vs #20).
- •Squad Chemistry: England have stronger squad cohesion (77/100 vs 73/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: England carry the higher average player rating (7.2 vs 6.6).
- •International Experience: Iran bring more combined caps to the squad (1208 vs 719).
- •World Cup Titles: England have won 1 World Cup; Iran have 0.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
England
Iran
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
England vs Iran – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between England and Iran at the 2026 World Cup?
England are favored, with a 44% projected win probability versus 39% for Iran and a 17% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are England's strongest attributes versus Iran?
England lead Iran in squad chemistry, squad morale. Iran, in turn, have the edge in team familiarity.
What is the World Cup history of England versus Iran?
England have appeared in 16 FIFA World Cups and won 1 title; Iran have appeared in 6 World Cups and won 0 titles. England's best finish is Winners; Iran's best finish is Group stage.
Have England and Iran faced each other in major international competition?
England and Iran have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the England versus Iran match?
Bukayo Saka (England, Arsenal, rated 8.2/10) and Mehdi Taremi (Iran, Inter Milan, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: England or Iran?
Iran carry the more experienced squad, with 1208 combined senior caps versus 719 for England. Average squad rating is 7.2 for England and 6.6 for Iran.