Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, England oder Germany?
England and Germany are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Germany a slim 42% win probability versus England, with a 18% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.1 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.
Das Fazit
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both England and Germany are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Zentrale Unterschiede: England vs Germany
- •FIFA Ranking: Germany sit 2 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#3 vs #5).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (England 77, Germany 79).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (England 7.2, Germany 7.1).
- •International Experience: Germany bring more combined caps to the squad (821 vs 719).
- •World Cup Titles: Germany have won 4 World Cups; England have 1.
- •Head-to-Head History: In 35 all-time meetings, England have won 14, Germany have won 13, with 8 draws (last result: England 2-1 Germany).
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
England
Germany
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
Direktvergleich aller Zeiten
35 Begegnungen · Zuletzt: England 2-1 Germany
Wichtige Begegnungen
England vs Germany – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between England and Germany at the 2026 World Cup?
England and Germany are essentially even. Our AI model gives Germany a slight 42% win probability versus 40% for England, with a 18% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.
What are England's strongest attributes versus Germany?
England do not lead Germany in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). England will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Germany's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of England versus Germany?
England have appeared in 16 FIFA World Cups and won 1 title; Germany have appeared in 20 World Cups and won 4 titles. England's best finish is Winners; Germany's best finish is Winners.
Have England and Germany played each other before?
Yes — England and Germany have met 35 times in all competitions, including 6 World Cup encounters. England have won 14, Germany have won 13, and 8 ended in draws. The most recent meeting was England 2-1 Germany.
Which players will define the England versus Germany match?
Bukayo Saka (England, Arsenal, rated 8.2/10) and Kai Havertz (Germany, Arsenal, rated 7.4/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: England or Germany?
Germany carry the more experienced squad, with 821 combined senior caps versus 719 for England. Average squad rating is 7.2 for England and 7.1 for Germany.