Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Ecuador oder Haiti?
Ecuador are favored over Haiti at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 48% win probability for Ecuador versus 32% for Haiti (and 20% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Ecuador's higher squad chemistry, though Haiti remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
Das Fazit
Ecuador are clear favorites against Haiti based on current form, squad depth, and predictive metrics. Ecuador's competitive strength and outstanding chemistry give them a significant advantage. Haiti will need a historic performance to overcome the odds.
Zentrale Unterschiede: Ecuador vs Haiti
- •FIFA Ranking: Ecuador sit 55 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#31 vs #86).
- •Squad Chemistry: Ecuador have stronger squad cohesion (70/100 vs 60/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: Ecuador carry the higher average player rating (6.8 vs 6.5).
- •International Experience: Ecuador bring more combined caps to the squad (663 vs 435).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
Ecuador
Haiti
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
Ecuador vs Haiti – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between Ecuador and Haiti at the 2026 World Cup?
Ecuador are favored, with a 48% projected win probability versus 32% for Haiti and a 20% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Ecuador's strongest attributes versus Haiti?
Ecuador lead Haiti in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability. Haiti, in turn, have the edge in squad morale.
What is the World Cup history of Ecuador versus Haiti?
Ecuador have appeared in 4 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Haiti have appeared in 1 World Cups and won 0 titles. Ecuador's best finish is Round of 16; Haiti's best finish is Group stage.
Have Ecuador and Haiti faced each other in major international competition?
Ecuador and Haiti have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Ecuador versus Haiti match?
Gonzalo Plata (Ecuador, Flamengo, rated 7/10) and Derrick Étienne Jr. (Haiti, Columbus Crew, rated 7/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Ecuador or Haiti?
Ecuador carry the more experienced squad, with 663 combined senior caps versus 435 for Haiti. Average squad rating is 6.8 for Ecuador and 6.5 for Haiti.