Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Denmark oder Spain?
Denmark and Spain are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Spain a slim 41% win probability versus Denmark, with a 19% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.2 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.
Das Fazit
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Denmark and Spain are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Zentrale Unterschiede: Denmark vs Spain
- •FIFA Ranking: Spain sit 19 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#2 vs #21).
- •Squad Chemistry: Spain have stronger squad cohesion (86/100 vs 80/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Denmark 6.9, Spain 7.1).
- •International Experience: Denmark bring more combined caps to the squad (1003 vs 667).
- •World Cup Titles: Spain have won 1 World Cup; Denmark have 0.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
Denmark
Spain
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
Denmark vs Spain – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between Denmark and Spain at the 2026 World Cup?
Denmark and Spain are essentially even. Our AI model gives Spain a slight 41% win probability versus 39% for Denmark, with a 19% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.
What are Denmark's strongest attributes versus Spain?
Denmark do not lead Spain in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Denmark will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Spain's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of Denmark versus Spain?
Denmark have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Spain have appeared in 16 World Cups and won 1 title. Denmark's best finish is Quarter-finals; Spain's best finish is Winners.
Have Denmark and Spain faced each other in major international competition?
Denmark and Spain have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Denmark versus Spain match?
Rasmus Højlund (Denmark, Manchester United, rated 7.3/10) and Lamine Yamal (Spain, Barcelona, rated 8.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Denmark or Spain?
Denmark carry the more experienced squad, with 1003 combined senior caps versus 667 for Spain. Average squad rating is 6.9 for Denmark and 7.1 for Spain.