Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Croatia oder England?
Croatia and England are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Croatia a slim 41% win probability versus England, with a 20% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.4 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.
Das Fazit
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Croatia and England are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Zentrale Unterschiede: Croatia vs England
- •FIFA Ranking: England sit 7 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#5 vs #12).
- •Squad Chemistry: Croatia have stronger squad cohesion (83/100 vs 77/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: England carry the higher average player rating (7.2 vs 6.8).
- •International Experience: Croatia bring more combined caps to the squad (985 vs 719).
- •World Cup Titles: England have won 1 World Cup; Croatia have 0.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
Croatia
England
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
Croatia vs England – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between Croatia and England at the 2026 World Cup?
Croatia and England are essentially even. Our AI model gives Croatia a slight 41% win probability versus 39% for England, with a 20% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.
What are Croatia's strongest attributes versus England?
Croatia lead England in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability. England, in turn, have the edge in squad morale.
What is the World Cup history of Croatia versus England?
Croatia have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; England have appeared in 16 World Cups and won 1 title. Croatia's best finish is Runners-up; England's best finish is Winners.
Have Croatia and England faced each other in major international competition?
Croatia and England have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Croatia versus England match?
Andrej Kramarić (Croatia, Hoffenheim, rated 6.9/10) and Bukayo Saka (England, Arsenal, rated 8.2/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Croatia or England?
Croatia carry the more experienced squad, with 985 combined senior caps versus 719 for England. Average squad rating is 6.8 for Croatia and 7.2 for England.