Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Croatia oder Denmark?
Croatia and Denmark are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Croatia a slim 42% win probability versus Denmark, with a 18% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.1 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.
Das Fazit
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Croatia and Denmark are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Zentrale Unterschiede: Croatia vs Denmark
- •FIFA Ranking: Croatia sit 9 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#12 vs #21).
- •Squad Chemistry: Croatia have stronger squad cohesion (83/100 vs 80/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Croatia 6.8, Denmark 6.9).
- •International Experience: Denmark bring more combined caps to the squad (1003 vs 985).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
Croatia
Denmark
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
Croatia vs Denmark – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between Croatia and Denmark at the 2026 World Cup?
Croatia and Denmark are essentially even. Our AI model gives Croatia a slight 42% win probability versus 41% for Denmark, with a 18% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.
What are Croatia's strongest attributes versus Denmark?
Croatia lead Denmark in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability, squad morale. Denmark do not lead in any of the four chemistry metrics.
What is the World Cup history of Croatia versus Denmark?
Croatia have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Denmark have appeared in 6 World Cups and won 0 titles. Croatia's best finish is Runners-up; Denmark's best finish is Quarter-finals.
Have Croatia and Denmark faced each other in major international competition?
Croatia and Denmark have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Croatia versus Denmark match?
Andrej Kramarić (Croatia, Hoffenheim, rated 6.9/10) and Rasmus Højlund (Denmark, Manchester United, rated 7.3/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Croatia or Denmark?
Denmark carry the more experienced squad, with 1003 combined senior caps versus 985 for Croatia. Average squad rating is 6.8 for Croatia and 6.9 for Denmark.