Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Canada oder Serbia?
Serbia are favored over Canada at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 44% win probability for Serbia versus 39% for Canada (and 17% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Serbia's higher squad chemistry, though Canada remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
Das Fazit
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Canada and Serbia are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Zentrale Unterschiede: Canada vs Serbia
- •FIFA Ranking: Serbia sit 8 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#32 vs #40).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Canada 70, Serbia 72).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Canada 6.8, Serbia 6.7).
- •International Experience: Serbia bring more combined caps to the squad (752 vs 750).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
Canada
Serbia
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
Canada vs Serbia – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between Canada and Serbia at the 2026 World Cup?
Serbia are favored, with a 44% projected win probability versus 39% for Canada and a 17% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Canada's strongest attributes versus Serbia?
Canada lead Serbia in squad morale. Serbia, in turn, have the edge in squad chemistry, team familiarity.
What is the World Cup history of Canada versus Serbia?
Canada have appeared in 2 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Serbia have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Canada's best finish is Group stage; Serbia's best finish is Group stage.
Have Canada and Serbia faced each other in major international competition?
Canada and Serbia have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Canada versus Serbia match?
Jonathan David (Canada, Lille, rated 7.6/10) and Dušan Vlahović (Serbia, Juventus, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Canada or Serbia?
Serbia carry the more experienced squad, with 752 combined senior caps versus 750 for Canada. Average squad rating is 6.8 for Canada and 6.7 for Serbia.