Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Canada oder Iran?
Iran are favored over Canada at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 44% win probability for Iran versus 37% for Canada (and 19% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Iran's higher squad chemistry, though Canada remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
Das Fazit
Iran hold a slight edge over Canada, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Canada possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
Zentrale Unterschiede: Canada vs Iran
- •FIFA Ranking: Iran sit 20 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#20 vs #40).
- •Squad Chemistry: Iran have stronger squad cohesion (73/100 vs 70/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: Canada carry the higher average player rating (6.8 vs 6.6).
- •International Experience: Iran bring more combined caps to the squad (1208 vs 750).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
Canada
Iran
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
Canada vs Iran – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between Canada and Iran at the 2026 World Cup?
Iran are favored, with a 44% projected win probability versus 38% for Canada and a 19% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Canada's strongest attributes versus Iran?
Canada lead Iran in squad morale. Iran, in turn, have the edge in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability.
What is the World Cup history of Canada versus Iran?
Canada have appeared in 2 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Iran have appeared in 6 World Cups and won 0 titles. Canada's best finish is Group stage; Iran's best finish is Group stage.
Have Canada and Iran faced each other in major international competition?
Canada and Iran have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Canada versus Iran match?
Jonathan David (Canada, Lille, rated 7.6/10) and Mehdi Taremi (Iran, Inter Milan, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Canada or Iran?
Iran carry the more experienced squad, with 1208 combined senior caps versus 750 for Canada. Average squad rating is 6.8 for Canada and 6.6 for Iran.