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Die WM 2026 läuft

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Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Brazil oder Serbia?

Brazil are favored over Serbia at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 44% win probability for Brazil versus 36% for Serbia (and 20% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Brazil's higher squad chemistry, though Serbia remain capable of an upset on tournament form.

Das Fazit

Brazil hold a slight edge over Serbia, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Serbia possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.

Zentrale Unterschiede: Brazil vs Serbia

  • FIFA Ranking: Brazil sit 27 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#5 vs #32).
  • Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Brazil 73, Serbia 72).
  • Average Squad Rating: Brazil carry the higher average player rating (7.2 vs 6.7).
  • International Experience: Serbia bring more combined caps to the squad (752 vs 681).
  • World Cup Titles: Brazil have won 5 World Cups; Serbia have 0.

Wer gewinnt?

Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.

Brazil 44%Draw 20%Serbia 36%

So schneiden sie ab

Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).

Brazil
Serbia
5
FIFA-Ranking
32
73
Chemistry
72
66
Vertrautheit
70
58
Stabilität
64
80
Moral
73

Was bedeuten diese Werte?

  • ChemistryWie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
  • VertrautheitWie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
  • StabilitätWie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
  • MoralDas aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
🇧🇷

Brazil

Chemistry73
Vertrautheit66
Stabilität58
Moral80
🇷🇸

Serbia

Chemistry72
Vertrautheit70
Stabilität64
Moral73

Kadervergleich

Brazil
Serbia
23
Kadergröße
23
7.2
Ø-Bewertung
6.7
681
Länderspiele gesamt
752
88
Tore gesamt
134

Zentrale Spieler-Duelle

WM-Historie

Brazil
Serbia
22
Teilnahmen
3
5
Titel
0
76
WM-Siege
2
114
WM-Spiele
12
Winners
Bestes Ergebnis
Group stage

Brazil vs Serbia – Häufig gestellte Fragen

Who is favored to win between Brazil and Serbia at the 2026 World Cup?

Brazil are favored, with a 44% projected win probability versus 36% for Serbia and a 20% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.

What are Brazil's strongest attributes versus Serbia?

Brazil lead Serbia in squad chemistry, squad morale. Serbia, in turn, have the edge in team familiarity, tactical stability.

What is the World Cup history of Brazil versus Serbia?

Brazil have appeared in 22 FIFA World Cups and won 5 titles; Serbia have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Brazil's best finish is Winners; Serbia's best finish is Group stage.

Have Brazil and Serbia faced each other in major international competition?

Brazil and Serbia have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.

Which players will define the Brazil versus Serbia match?

Vinícius Jr. (Brazil, Real Madrid, rated 8.8/10) and Dušan Vlahović (Serbia, Juventus, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.

Which squad has more international experience: Brazil or Serbia?

Serbia carry the more experienced squad, with 752 combined senior caps versus 681 for Brazil. Average squad rating is 7.2 for Brazil and 6.7 for Serbia.

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