Kurzfassung – Wer ist besser, Austria oder Paraguay?
Austria are favored over Paraguay at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 51% win probability for Austria versus 33% for Paraguay (and 16% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Austria's higher squad chemistry, though Paraguay remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
Das Fazit
Austria are clear favorites against Paraguay based on current form, squad depth, and predictive metrics. Austria's competitive strength and outstanding chemistry give them a significant advantage. Paraguay will need a historic performance to overcome the odds.
Zentrale Unterschiede: Austria vs Paraguay
- •FIFA Ranking: Austria sit 27 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#25 vs #52).
- •Squad Chemistry: Austria have stronger squad cohesion (78/100 vs 66/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Austria 6.7, Paraguay 6.6).
- •International Experience: Austria bring more combined caps to the squad (732 vs 604).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Wer gewinnt?
Unser KI-Modell gewichtet Form, Kaderqualität und mannschaftliche Geschlossenheit, um den wahrscheinlichsten Ausgang vorherzusagen.
So schneiden sie ab
Ein direkter Vergleich der entscheidenden Faktoren für diese Paarung. Höher ist besser (außer beim FIFA-Ranking, wo niedriger = stärker).
Was bedeuten diese Werte?
- Chemistry — Wie gut die Mannschaft als Einheit zusammenspielt. Denk an das Tiki-Taka des FC Barcelona im Vergleich zu einer zufällig zusammengewürfelten All-Star-Truppe.
- Vertrautheit — Wie lange diese Spieler schon zusammenspielen. Kader mit jahrelanger gemeinsamer Erfahrung lesen die Laufwege der anderen instinktiv.
- Stabilität — Wie beständig taktisches System und Aufstellung waren. Häufige Trainerwechsel und Formationsexperimente schaden diesem Wert.
- Moral — Das aktuelle Selbstvertrauen und Momentum des Kaders. Jüngste Siege, Rückhalt der Fans und positive Medienstimmung tragen alle dazu bei.
Austria
Paraguay
Kadervergleich
Zentrale Spieler-Duelle
WM-Historie
Austria vs Paraguay – Häufig gestellte Fragen
Who is favored to win between Austria and Paraguay at the 2026 World Cup?
Austria are favored, with a 51% projected win probability versus 34% for Paraguay and a 16% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Austria's strongest attributes versus Paraguay?
Austria lead Paraguay in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability, squad morale. Paraguay do not lead in any of the four chemistry metrics.
What is the World Cup history of Austria versus Paraguay?
Austria have appeared in 8 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Paraguay have appeared in 9 World Cups and won 0 titles. Austria's best finish is Third place; Paraguay's best finish is Quarter-finals.
Have Austria and Paraguay faced each other in major international competition?
Austria and Paraguay have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Austria versus Paraguay match?
Michael Gregoritsch (Austria, Freiburg, rated 6.8/10) and Julio Enciso (Paraguay, Brighton, rated 7/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Austria or Paraguay?
Austria carry the more experienced squad, with 732 combined senior caps versus 604 for Paraguay. Average squad rating is 6.7 for Austria and 6.6 for Paraguay.