Head-to-Head Comparison
The Bottom Line
Japan hold a slight edge over Turkey, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Turkey possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
Who Wins?
Our AI model weighs form, squad quality, and team cohesion to predict the most likely outcome.
Japan 47%Draw 17%Turkey 36%
How They Compare
A side-by-side look at the key factors that could decide this matchup. Higher is better (except FIFA Ranking, where lower = stronger).
Japan
Turkey
13
FIFA Ranking26
82
Chemistry72
81
Familiarity67
79
Stability63
83
Morale79
What do these mean?
- Chemistry — How well the squad plays together as a unit. Think Barcelona's tiki-taka vs a random group of all-stars.
- Familiarity — How long these players have been playing together. Squads with years of shared experience read each other's runs instinctively.
- Stability — How consistent the tactical system and lineup have been. Frequent coaching changes and formation experiments hurt this score.
- Morale — The squad's current confidence and momentum. Recent wins, fan support, and media positivity all contribute.
🇯🇵
Japan
Chemistry82
Familiarity81
Stability79
Morale83
🇹🇷
Turkey
Chemistry72
Familiarity67
Stability63
Morale79
Squad Comparison
Japan
Turkey
23
Squad Size23
6.9
Avg Rating6.8
668
Total Caps691
78
Total Goals83
Key Player Matchups
World Cup History
Japan
Turkey
7
Appearances3
0
Titles0
7
WC Wins5
24
WC Matches10
Round of 16
Best FinishThird place