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The Bottom Line

Italy hold a slight edge over Ivory Coast, driven primarily by their higher FIFA ranking. However, Ivory Coast possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.

Who Wins?

Our AI model weighs form, squad quality, and team cohesion to predict the most likely outcome.

Italy 47%Draw 15%Ivory Coast 38%

How They Compare

A side-by-side look at the key factors that could decide this matchup. Higher is better (except FIFA Ranking, where lower = stronger).

Italy
Ivory Coast
9
FIFA Ranking
38
74
Chemistry
74
70
Familiarity
70
62
Stability
68
76
Morale
86

What do these mean?

  • Chemistry — How well the squad plays together as a unit. Think Barcelona's tiki-taka vs a random group of all-stars.
  • Familiarity — How long these players have been playing together. Squads with years of shared experience read each other's runs instinctively.
  • Stability — How consistent the tactical system and lineup have been. Frequent coaching changes and formation experiments hurt this score.
  • Morale — The squad's current confidence and momentum. Recent wins, fan support, and media positivity all contribute.
🇮🇹

Italy

Chemistry74
Familiarity70
Stability62
Morale76
🇨🇮

Ivory Coast

Chemistry74
Familiarity70
Stability68
Morale86

Squad Comparison

Italy
Ivory Coast
23
Squad Size
23
7
Avg Rating
6.7
632
Total Caps
633
76
Total Goals
68

Key Player Matchups

World Cup History

Italy
Ivory Coast
18
Appearances
4
4
Titles
0
45
WC Wins
3
83
WC Matches
12
Winners
Best Finish
Group stage

Related Comparisons

Italy vs Ivory Coast: World Cup 2026 Head-to-Head Comparison | KickOracle