Коротко — кто сильнее, Portugal или Spain?
Portugal and Spain are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Spain a slim 41% win probability versus Portugal, with a 19% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.0 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.
Итог
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Portugal and Spain are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Ключевые различия: Portugal против Spain
- •FIFA Ranking: Spain sit 4 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#2 vs #6).
- •Squad Chemistry: Spain have stronger squad cohesion (86/100 vs 76/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Portugal 7.1, Spain 7.1).
- •International Experience: Portugal bring more combined caps to the squad (1116 vs 667).
- •World Cup Titles: Spain have won 1 World Cup; Portugal have 0.
Кто победит?
Наша AI-модель взвешивает форму, качество состава и сплочённость команды, чтобы предсказать наиболее вероятный исход.
Как они сравниваются
Сопоставление ключевых факторов, которые могут решить исход этой пары. Чем выше — тем лучше (кроме рейтинга FIFA, где ниже = сильнее).
Что означают эти показатели?
- Сыгранность — Насколько хорошо команда играет как единое целое. Вспомните тики-таку «Барселоны» против случайного набора звёзд.
- Сыгранность состава — Как долго эти игроки играют вместе. Команды с годами совместного опыта читают рывки друг друга инстинктивно.
- Стабильность — Насколько постоянны тактическая схема и стартовый состав. Частые смены тренеров и эксперименты с расстановкой снижают этот показатель.
- Боевой дух — Текущая уверенность и импульс команды. Свежие победы, поддержка болельщиков и позитивный фон в прессе — всё это вносит вклад.
Portugal
Spain
Сравнение составов
Ключевые дуэли игроков
История чемпионатов мира
Portugal против Spain — часто задаваемые вопросы
Who is favored to win between Portugal and Spain at the 2026 World Cup?
Portugal and Spain are essentially even. Our AI model gives Spain a slight 41% win probability versus 39% for Portugal, with a 19% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.
What are Portugal's strongest attributes versus Spain?
Portugal do not lead Spain in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Portugal will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Spain's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of Portugal versus Spain?
Portugal have appeared in 8 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Spain have appeared in 16 World Cups and won 1 title. Portugal's best finish is Third place; Spain's best finish is Winners.
Have Portugal and Spain faced each other in major international competition?
Portugal and Spain have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Portugal versus Spain match?
Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal, Al-Nassr, rated 7.5/10) and Lamine Yamal (Spain, Barcelona, rated 8.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Portugal or Spain?
Portugal carry the more experienced squad, with 1116 combined senior caps versus 667 for Spain. Average squad rating is 7.1 for Portugal and 7.1 for Spain.