Коротко — кто сильнее, Iran или Turkey?
Iran and Turkey are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Iran a slim 44% win probability versus Turkey, with a 15% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.2 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.
Итог
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Iran and Turkey are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Ключевые различия: Iran против Turkey
- •FIFA Ranking: Iran sit 6 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#20 vs #26).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Iran 73, Turkey 72).
- •Average Squad Rating: Turkey carry the higher average player rating (6.8 vs 6.6).
- •International Experience: Iran bring more combined caps to the squad (1208 vs 691).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Кто победит?
Наша AI-модель взвешивает форму, качество состава и сплочённость команды, чтобы предсказать наиболее вероятный исход.
Как они сравниваются
Сопоставление ключевых факторов, которые могут решить исход этой пары. Чем выше — тем лучше (кроме рейтинга FIFA, где ниже = сильнее).
Что означают эти показатели?
- Сыгранность — Насколько хорошо команда играет как единое целое. Вспомните тики-таку «Барселоны» против случайного набора звёзд.
- Сыгранность состава — Как долго эти игроки играют вместе. Команды с годами совместного опыта читают рывки друг друга инстинктивно.
- Стабильность — Насколько постоянны тактическая схема и стартовый состав. Частые смены тренеров и эксперименты с расстановкой снижают этот показатель.
- Боевой дух — Текущая уверенность и импульс команды. Свежие победы, поддержка болельщиков и позитивный фон в прессе — всё это вносит вклад.
Iran
Turkey
Сравнение составов
Ключевые дуэли игроков
История чемпионатов мира
Iran против Turkey — часто задаваемые вопросы
Who is favored to win between Iran and Turkey at the 2026 World Cup?
Iran and Turkey are essentially even. Our AI model gives Iran a slight 44% win probability versus 42% for Turkey, with a 15% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.
What are Iran's strongest attributes versus Turkey?
Iran lead Turkey in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability. Turkey, in turn, have the edge in squad morale.
What is the World Cup history of Iran versus Turkey?
Iran have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Turkey have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Iran's best finish is Group stage; Turkey's best finish is Third place.
Have Iran and Turkey faced each other in major international competition?
Iran and Turkey have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Iran versus Turkey match?
Mehdi Taremi (Iran, Inter Milan, rated 7.5/10) and Kenan Yıldız (Turkey, Juventus, rated 7.1/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Iran or Turkey?
Iran carry the more experienced squad, with 1208 combined senior caps versus 691 for Turkey. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Iran and 6.8 for Turkey.