Коротко — кто сильнее, Austria или Iran?
Austria are favored over Iran at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 43% win probability for Austria versus 38% for Iran (and 19% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Austria's higher squad chemistry, though Iran remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
Итог
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Austria and Iran are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Ключевые различия: Austria против Iran
- •FIFA Ranking: Iran sit 5 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#20 vs #25).
- •Squad Chemistry: Austria have stronger squad cohesion (78/100 vs 73/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Austria 6.7, Iran 6.6).
- •International Experience: Iran bring more combined caps to the squad (1208 vs 732).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Кто победит?
Наша AI-модель взвешивает форму, качество состава и сплочённость команды, чтобы предсказать наиболее вероятный исход.
Как они сравниваются
Сопоставление ключевых факторов, которые могут решить исход этой пары. Чем выше — тем лучше (кроме рейтинга FIFA, где ниже = сильнее).
Что означают эти показатели?
- Сыгранность — Насколько хорошо команда играет как единое целое. Вспомните тики-таку «Барселоны» против случайного набора звёзд.
- Сыгранность состава — Как долго эти игроки играют вместе. Команды с годами совместного опыта читают рывки друг друга инстинктивно.
- Стабильность — Насколько постоянны тактическая схема и стартовый состав. Частые смены тренеров и эксперименты с расстановкой снижают этот показатель.
- Боевой дух — Текущая уверенность и импульс команды. Свежие победы, поддержка болельщиков и позитивный фон в прессе — всё это вносит вклад.
Austria
Iran
Сравнение составов
Ключевые дуэли игроков
История чемпионатов мира
Austria против Iran — часто задаваемые вопросы
Who is favored to win between Austria and Iran at the 2026 World Cup?
Austria are favored, with a 43% projected win probability versus 38% for Iran and a 19% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Austria's strongest attributes versus Iran?
Austria lead Iran in squad chemistry, tactical stability, squad morale. Iran do not lead in any of the four chemistry metrics.
What is the World Cup history of Austria versus Iran?
Austria have appeared in 8 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Iran have appeared in 6 World Cups and won 0 titles. Austria's best finish is Third place; Iran's best finish is Group stage.
Have Austria and Iran faced each other in major international competition?
Austria and Iran have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Austria versus Iran match?
Michael Gregoritsch (Austria, Freiburg, rated 6.8/10) and Mehdi Taremi (Iran, Inter Milan, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Austria or Iran?
Iran carry the more experienced squad, with 1208 combined senior caps versus 732 for Austria. Average squad rating is 6.7 for Austria and 6.6 for Iran.