TL;DR — Who's Better, Jordan or Panama?
Panama are favored over Jordan at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 45% win probability for Panama versus 37% for Jordan (and 18% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Panama's stronger FIFA ranking, though Jordan remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
The Bottom Line
Panama hold a slight edge over Jordan, driven primarily by their higher FIFA ranking. However, Jordan possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
Key Differences: Jordan vs Panama
- •FIFA Ranking: Panama sit 15 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#55 vs #70).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Jordan 67, Panama 65).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Jordan 6.5, Panama 6.5).
- •International Experience: Panama bring more combined caps to the squad (830 vs 590).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Who Wins?
Our AI model weighs form, squad quality, and team cohesion to predict the most likely outcome.
How They Compare
A side-by-side look at the key factors that could decide this matchup. Higher is better (except FIFA Ranking, where lower = stronger).
What do these mean?
- Chemistry — How well the squad plays together as a unit. Think Barcelona's tiki-taka vs a random group of all-stars.
- Familiarity — How long these players have been playing together. Squads with years of shared experience read each other's runs instinctively.
- Stability — How consistent the tactical system and lineup have been. Frequent coaching changes and formation experiments hurt this score.
- Morale — The squad's current confidence and momentum. Recent wins, fan support, and media positivity all contribute.
Jordan
Panama
Squad Comparison
Key Player Matchups
World Cup History
Jordan vs Panama — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win between Jordan and Panama at the 2026 World Cup?
Panama are favored, with a 45% projected win probability versus 37% for Jordan and a 18% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Jordan's strongest attributes versus Panama?
Jordan lead Panama in squad chemistry, tactical stability, squad morale. Panama, in turn, have the edge in team familiarity.
What is the World Cup history of Jordan versus Panama?
Jordan have appeared in 0 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Panama have appeared in 1 World Cups and won 0 titles. Jordan's best finish is Debut; Panama's best finish is Group stage.
Have Jordan and Panama faced each other in major international competition?
Jordan and Panama have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Jordan versus Panama match?
Mousa Al-Tamari (Jordan, Montpellier, rated 7.1/10) and José Fajardo (Panama, Saprissa, rated 6.7/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Jordan or Panama?
Panama carry the more experienced squad, with 830 combined senior caps versus 590 for Jordan. Average squad rating is 6.5 for Jordan and 6.5 for Panama.