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Resumo — Quem é melhor, Iran ou Serbia?

Iran are favored over Serbia at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 44% win probability for Iran versus 39% for Serbia (and 17% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Iran's higher squad chemistry, though Serbia remain capable of an upset on tournament form.

A Conclusão

This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Iran and Serbia are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.

Principais Diferenças: Iran x Serbia

  • FIFA Ranking: Iran sit 12 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#20 vs #32).
  • Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Iran 73, Serbia 72).
  • Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Iran 6.6, Serbia 6.7).
  • International Experience: Iran bring more combined caps to the squad (1208 vs 752).
  • World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.

Quem Vence?

Nosso modelo de IA pondera forma, qualidade de elenco e coesão de time para prever o resultado mais provável.

Iran 44%Draw 17%Serbia 39%

Como Se Comparam

Um confronto lado a lado dos fatores que podem decidir esse duelo. Quanto maior, melhor (exceto o Ranking FIFA, onde menor = mais forte).

Iran
Serbia
20
Ranking FIFA
32
73
Entrosamento
72
76
Familiaridade
70
71
Estabilidade
64
70
Moral
73

O que isso significa?

  • EntrosamentoO quão bem o elenco joga como um time só. Pense no tiki-taka do Barcelona contra um grupo qualquer de craques avulsos.
  • FamiliaridadeHá quanto tempo esses jogadores atuam juntos. Elencos com anos de bagagem em conjunto leem os movimentos uns dos outros por instinto.
  • EstabilidadeO quão consistentes têm sido o sistema tático e a escalação. Trocas frequentes de técnico e experimentos de formação prejudicam essa nota.
  • MoralA confiança e o embalo atuais do elenco. Vitórias recentes, apoio da torcida e clima positivo na imprensa contam pontos.
🇮🇷

Iran

Entrosamento73
Familiaridade76
Estabilidade71
Moral70
🇷🇸

Serbia

Entrosamento72
Familiaridade70
Estabilidade64
Moral73

Comparativo de Elencos

Iran
Serbia
23
Tamanho do Elenco
23
6.6
Nota Média
6.7
1208
Total de Jogos pela Seleção
752
170
Total de Gols
134

Principais Duelos Individuais

Histórico em Copas do Mundo

Iran
Serbia
6
Participações
3
0
Títulos
0
4
Vitórias em Copas
2
18
Jogos em Copas
12
Group stage
Melhor Campanha
Group stage

Iran x Serbia — Perguntas Frequentes

Who is favored to win between Iran and Serbia at the 2026 World Cup?

Iran are favored, with a 44% projected win probability versus 39% for Serbia and a 17% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.

What are Iran's strongest attributes versus Serbia?

Iran lead Serbia in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability. Serbia, in turn, have the edge in squad morale.

What is the World Cup history of Iran versus Serbia?

Iran have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Serbia have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Iran's best finish is Group stage; Serbia's best finish is Group stage.

Have Iran and Serbia faced each other in major international competition?

Iran and Serbia have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.

Which players will define the Iran versus Serbia match?

Mehdi Taremi (Iran, Inter Milan, rated 7.5/10) and Dušan Vlahović (Serbia, Juventus, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.

Which squad has more international experience: Iran or Serbia?

Iran carry the more experienced squad, with 1208 combined senior caps versus 752 for Serbia. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Iran and 6.7 for Serbia.

Comparativos Relacionados

Iran x Serbia: Comparativo Direto da Copa do Mundo 2026 | KickOracle