Samengevat — wie is beter, USA of Turkey?
USA are favored over Turkey at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 43% win probability for USA versus 38% for Turkey (and 19% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by USA's higher squad chemistry, though Turkey remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
De kern
USA hold a slight edge over Turkey, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Turkey possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
Belangrijkste verschillen: USA vs Turkey
- •FIFA Ranking: USA sit 15 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#11 vs #26).
- •Squad Chemistry: USA have stronger squad cohesion (78/100 vs 72/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (USA 6.9, Turkey 6.8).
- •International Experience: Turkey bring more combined caps to the squad (691 vs 661).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Wie wint?
Ons AI-model weegt vorm, selectiekwaliteit en teamcohesie om de meest waarschijnlijke uitkomst te voorspellen.
Hoe ze zich verhouden
Een vergelijking naast elkaar van de belangrijkste factoren die dit duel kunnen beslissen. Hoger is beter (behalve bij de FIFA-ranking, waar lager = sterker).
Wat betekenen deze?
- Chemistry — Hoe goed de selectie als eenheid samenspeelt. Denk aan het tiki-taka van Barcelona tegenover een willekeurige verzameling sterren.
- Vertrouwdheid — Hoelang deze spelers al samenspelen. Selecties met jaren gedeelde ervaring lezen elkaars loopacties instinctief.
- Stabiliteit — Hoe consistent het tactische systeem en de opstelling zijn geweest. Veel trainerswissels en experimenten met formaties schaden deze score.
- Moreel — Het huidige zelfvertrouwen en momentum van de selectie. Recente zeges, steun van fans en positieve media dragen er allemaal aan bij.
USA
Turkey
Selectievergelijking
Belangrijke onderlinge duels
WK-historie
USA vs Turkey — Veelgestelde vragen
Who is favored to win between USA and Turkey at the 2026 World Cup?
USA are favored, with a 43% projected win probability versus 37% for Turkey and a 19% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are USA's strongest attributes versus Turkey?
USA lead Turkey in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability, squad morale. Turkey do not lead in any of the four chemistry metrics.
What is the World Cup history of USA versus Turkey?
USA have appeared in 11 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Turkey have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. USA's best finish is Semi-finals; Turkey's best finish is Third place.
Have USA and Turkey faced each other in major international competition?
USA and Turkey have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the USA versus Turkey match?
Tim Weah (USA, Juventus, rated 7.1/10) and Kenan Yıldız (Turkey, Juventus, rated 7.1/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: USA or Turkey?
Turkey carry the more experienced squad, with 691 combined senior caps versus 661 for USA. Average squad rating is 6.9 for USA and 6.8 for Turkey.