Samengevat — wie is beter, Tunisia of Netherlands?
Netherlands are favored over Tunisia at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 48% win probability for Netherlands versus 34% for Tunisia (and 18% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Netherlands's higher squad chemistry, though Tunisia remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
De kern
Netherlands hold a slight edge over Tunisia, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Tunisia possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
Belangrijkste verschillen: Tunisia vs Netherlands
- •FIFA Ranking: Netherlands sit 30 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#7 vs #37).
- •Squad Chemistry: Netherlands have stronger squad cohesion (78/100 vs 69/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: Netherlands carry the higher average player rating (7.1 vs 6.6).
- •International Experience: Tunisia bring more combined caps to the squad (711 vs 693).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Wie wint?
Ons AI-model weegt vorm, selectiekwaliteit en teamcohesie om de meest waarschijnlijke uitkomst te voorspellen.
Hoe ze zich verhouden
Een vergelijking naast elkaar van de belangrijkste factoren die dit duel kunnen beslissen. Hoger is beter (behalve bij de FIFA-ranking, waar lager = sterker).
Wat betekenen deze?
- Chemistry — Hoe goed de selectie als eenheid samenspeelt. Denk aan het tiki-taka van Barcelona tegenover een willekeurige verzameling sterren.
- Vertrouwdheid — Hoelang deze spelers al samenspelen. Selecties met jaren gedeelde ervaring lezen elkaars loopacties instinctief.
- Stabiliteit — Hoe consistent het tactische systeem en de opstelling zijn geweest. Veel trainerswissels en experimenten met formaties schaden deze score.
- Moreel — Het huidige zelfvertrouwen en momentum van de selectie. Recente zeges, steun van fans en positieve media dragen er allemaal aan bij.
Tunisia
Netherlands
Selectievergelijking
Belangrijke onderlinge duels
WK-historie
Tunisia vs Netherlands — Veelgestelde vragen
Who is favored to win between Tunisia and Netherlands at the 2026 World Cup?
Netherlands are favored, with a 48% projected win probability versus 34% for Tunisia and a 18% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Tunisia's strongest attributes versus Netherlands?
Tunisia do not lead Netherlands in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Tunisia will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Netherlands's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of Tunisia versus Netherlands?
Tunisia have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Netherlands have appeared in 11 World Cups and won 0 titles. Tunisia's best finish is Group stage; Netherlands's best finish is Runners-up.
Have Tunisia and Netherlands faced each other in major international competition?
Tunisia and Netherlands have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Tunisia versus Netherlands match?
Youssef Msakni (Tunisia, Al-Arabi, rated 6.7/10) and Cody Gakpo (Netherlands, Liverpool, rated 7.8/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Tunisia or Netherlands?
Tunisia carry the more experienced squad, with 711 combined senior caps versus 693 for Netherlands. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Tunisia and 7.1 for Netherlands.