Samengevat — wie is beter, Tunisia of Japan?
Japan are favored over Tunisia at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 45% win probability for Japan versus 36% for Tunisia (and 19% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Japan's higher squad chemistry, though Tunisia remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
De kern
Japan hold a slight edge over Tunisia, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Tunisia possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
Belangrijkste verschillen: Tunisia vs Japan
- •FIFA Ranking: Japan sit 24 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#13 vs #37).
- •Squad Chemistry: Japan have stronger squad cohesion (82/100 vs 69/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: Japan carry the higher average player rating (6.9 vs 6.6).
- •International Experience: Tunisia bring more combined caps to the squad (711 vs 668).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Wie wint?
Ons AI-model weegt vorm, selectiekwaliteit en teamcohesie om de meest waarschijnlijke uitkomst te voorspellen.
Hoe ze zich verhouden
Een vergelijking naast elkaar van de belangrijkste factoren die dit duel kunnen beslissen. Hoger is beter (behalve bij de FIFA-ranking, waar lager = sterker).
Wat betekenen deze?
- Chemistry — Hoe goed de selectie als eenheid samenspeelt. Denk aan het tiki-taka van Barcelona tegenover een willekeurige verzameling sterren.
- Vertrouwdheid — Hoelang deze spelers al samenspelen. Selecties met jaren gedeelde ervaring lezen elkaars loopacties instinctief.
- Stabiliteit — Hoe consistent het tactische systeem en de opstelling zijn geweest. Veel trainerswissels en experimenten met formaties schaden deze score.
- Moreel — Het huidige zelfvertrouwen en momentum van de selectie. Recente zeges, steun van fans en positieve media dragen er allemaal aan bij.
Tunisia
Japan
Selectievergelijking
Belangrijke onderlinge duels
WK-historie
Tunisia vs Japan — Veelgestelde vragen
Who is favored to win between Tunisia and Japan at the 2026 World Cup?
Japan are favored, with a 45% projected win probability versus 35% for Tunisia and a 19% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Tunisia's strongest attributes versus Japan?
Tunisia do not lead Japan in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Tunisia will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Japan's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of Tunisia versus Japan?
Tunisia have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Japan have appeared in 7 World Cups and won 0 titles. Tunisia's best finish is Group stage; Japan's best finish is Round of 16.
Have Tunisia and Japan faced each other in major international competition?
Tunisia and Japan have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Tunisia versus Japan match?
Youssef Msakni (Tunisia, Al-Arabi, rated 6.7/10) and Takefusa Kubo (Japan, Real Sociedad, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Tunisia or Japan?
Tunisia carry the more experienced squad, with 711 combined senior caps versus 668 for Japan. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Tunisia and 6.9 for Japan.