Samengevat — wie is beter, Senegal of Spain?
Spain are favored over Senegal at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 44% win probability for Spain versus 37% for Senegal (and 19% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Spain's higher squad chemistry, though Senegal remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
De kern
Spain hold a slight edge over Senegal, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Senegal possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
Belangrijkste verschillen: Senegal vs Spain
- •FIFA Ranking: Spain sit 15 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#2 vs #17).
- •Squad Chemistry: Spain have stronger squad cohesion (86/100 vs 77/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: Spain carry the higher average player rating (7.1 vs 6.7).
- •International Experience: Senegal bring more combined caps to the squad (777 vs 667).
- •World Cup Titles: Spain have won 1 World Cup; Senegal have 0.
Wie wint?
Ons AI-model weegt vorm, selectiekwaliteit en teamcohesie om de meest waarschijnlijke uitkomst te voorspellen.
Hoe ze zich verhouden
Een vergelijking naast elkaar van de belangrijkste factoren die dit duel kunnen beslissen. Hoger is beter (behalve bij de FIFA-ranking, waar lager = sterker).
Wat betekenen deze?
- Chemistry — Hoe goed de selectie als eenheid samenspeelt. Denk aan het tiki-taka van Barcelona tegenover een willekeurige verzameling sterren.
- Vertrouwdheid — Hoelang deze spelers al samenspelen. Selecties met jaren gedeelde ervaring lezen elkaars loopacties instinctief.
- Stabiliteit — Hoe consistent het tactische systeem en de opstelling zijn geweest. Veel trainerswissels en experimenten met formaties schaden deze score.
- Moreel — Het huidige zelfvertrouwen en momentum van de selectie. Recente zeges, steun van fans en positieve media dragen er allemaal aan bij.
Senegal
Spain
Selectievergelijking
Belangrijke onderlinge duels
WK-historie
Senegal vs Spain — Veelgestelde vragen
Who is favored to win between Senegal and Spain at the 2026 World Cup?
Spain are favored, with a 44% projected win probability versus 37% for Senegal and a 19% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Senegal's strongest attributes versus Spain?
Senegal do not lead Spain in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Senegal will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Spain's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of Senegal versus Spain?
Senegal have appeared in 3 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Spain have appeared in 16 World Cups and won 1 title. Senegal's best finish is Quarter-finals; Spain's best finish is Winners.
Have Senegal and Spain faced each other in major international competition?
Senegal and Spain have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Senegal versus Spain match?
Ismaila Sarr (Senegal, Crystal Palace, rated 7.1/10) and Lamine Yamal (Spain, Barcelona, rated 8.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Senegal or Spain?
Senegal carry the more experienced squad, with 777 combined senior caps versus 667 for Spain. Average squad rating is 6.7 for Senegal and 7.1 for Spain.