Samengevat — wie is beter, Italy of Turkey?
Italy and Turkey are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Italy a slim 43% win probability versus Turkey, with a 18% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.2 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.
De kern
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Italy and Turkey are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Belangrijkste verschillen: Italy vs Turkey
- •FIFA Ranking: Italy sit 17 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#9 vs #26).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Italy 74, Turkey 72).
- •Average Squad Rating: Italy carry the higher average player rating (7 vs 6.8).
- •International Experience: Turkey bring more combined caps to the squad (691 vs 632).
- •World Cup Titles: Italy have won 4 World Cups; Turkey have 0.
Wie wint?
Ons AI-model weegt vorm, selectiekwaliteit en teamcohesie om de meest waarschijnlijke uitkomst te voorspellen.
Hoe ze zich verhouden
Een vergelijking naast elkaar van de belangrijkste factoren die dit duel kunnen beslissen. Hoger is beter (behalve bij de FIFA-ranking, waar lager = sterker).
Wat betekenen deze?
- Chemistry — Hoe goed de selectie als eenheid samenspeelt. Denk aan het tiki-taka van Barcelona tegenover een willekeurige verzameling sterren.
- Vertrouwdheid — Hoelang deze spelers al samenspelen. Selecties met jaren gedeelde ervaring lezen elkaars loopacties instinctief.
- Stabiliteit — Hoe consistent het tactische systeem en de opstelling zijn geweest. Veel trainerswissels en experimenten met formaties schaden deze score.
- Moreel — Het huidige zelfvertrouwen en momentum van de selectie. Recente zeges, steun van fans en positieve media dragen er allemaal aan bij.
Italy
Turkey
Selectievergelijking
Belangrijke onderlinge duels
WK-historie
Italy vs Turkey — Veelgestelde vragen
Who is favored to win between Italy and Turkey at the 2026 World Cup?
Italy and Turkey are essentially even. Our AI model gives Italy a slight 43% win probability versus 39% for Turkey, with a 18% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.
What are Italy's strongest attributes versus Turkey?
Italy lead Turkey in squad chemistry, team familiarity. Turkey, in turn, have the edge in tactical stability, squad morale.
What is the World Cup history of Italy versus Turkey?
Italy have appeared in 18 FIFA World Cups and won 4 titles; Turkey have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Italy's best finish is Winners; Turkey's best finish is Third place.
Have Italy and Turkey faced each other in major international competition?
Italy and Turkey have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Italy versus Turkey match?
Federico Chiesa (Italy, Liverpool, rated 7.3/10) and Kenan Yıldız (Turkey, Juventus, rated 7.1/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Italy or Turkey?
Turkey carry the more experienced squad, with 691 combined senior caps versus 632 for Italy. Average squad rating is 7 for Italy and 6.8 for Turkey.