Samengevat — wie is beter, Italy of Paraguay?
Italy are favored over Paraguay at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 49% win probability for Italy versus 34% for Paraguay (and 17% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Italy's higher squad chemistry, though Paraguay remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
De kern
Italy hold a slight edge over Paraguay, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Paraguay possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
Belangrijkste verschillen: Italy vs Paraguay
- •FIFA Ranking: Italy sit 43 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#9 vs #52).
- •Squad Chemistry: Italy have stronger squad cohesion (74/100 vs 66/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: Italy carry the higher average player rating (7 vs 6.6).
- •International Experience: Italy bring more combined caps to the squad (632 vs 604).
- •World Cup Titles: Italy have won 4 World Cups; Paraguay have 0.
Wie wint?
Ons AI-model weegt vorm, selectiekwaliteit en teamcohesie om de meest waarschijnlijke uitkomst te voorspellen.
Hoe ze zich verhouden
Een vergelijking naast elkaar van de belangrijkste factoren die dit duel kunnen beslissen. Hoger is beter (behalve bij de FIFA-ranking, waar lager = sterker).
Wat betekenen deze?
- Chemistry — Hoe goed de selectie als eenheid samenspeelt. Denk aan het tiki-taka van Barcelona tegenover een willekeurige verzameling sterren.
- Vertrouwdheid — Hoelang deze spelers al samenspelen. Selecties met jaren gedeelde ervaring lezen elkaars loopacties instinctief.
- Stabiliteit — Hoe consistent het tactische systeem en de opstelling zijn geweest. Veel trainerswissels en experimenten met formaties schaden deze score.
- Moreel — Het huidige zelfvertrouwen en momentum van de selectie. Recente zeges, steun van fans en positieve media dragen er allemaal aan bij.
Italy
Paraguay
Selectievergelijking
Belangrijke onderlinge duels
WK-historie
Italy vs Paraguay — Veelgestelde vragen
Who is favored to win between Italy and Paraguay at the 2026 World Cup?
Italy are favored, with a 49% projected win probability versus 34% for Paraguay and a 17% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Italy's strongest attributes versus Paraguay?
Italy lead Paraguay in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability, squad morale. Paraguay do not lead in any of the four chemistry metrics.
What is the World Cup history of Italy versus Paraguay?
Italy have appeared in 18 FIFA World Cups and won 4 titles; Paraguay have appeared in 9 World Cups and won 0 titles. Italy's best finish is Winners; Paraguay's best finish is Quarter-finals.
Have Italy and Paraguay faced each other in major international competition?
Italy and Paraguay have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Italy versus Paraguay match?
Federico Chiesa (Italy, Liverpool, rated 7.3/10) and Julio Enciso (Paraguay, Brighton, rated 7/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Italy or Paraguay?
Italy carry the more experienced squad, with 632 combined senior caps versus 604 for Paraguay. Average squad rating is 7 for Italy and 6.6 for Paraguay.