Samengevat — wie is beter, Iran of Turkey?
Iran and Turkey are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Iran a slim 44% win probability versus Turkey, with a 15% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.2 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.
De kern
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Iran and Turkey are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Belangrijkste verschillen: Iran vs Turkey
- •FIFA Ranking: Iran sit 6 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#20 vs #26).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Iran 73, Turkey 72).
- •Average Squad Rating: Turkey carry the higher average player rating (6.8 vs 6.6).
- •International Experience: Iran bring more combined caps to the squad (1208 vs 691).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Wie wint?
Ons AI-model weegt vorm, selectiekwaliteit en teamcohesie om de meest waarschijnlijke uitkomst te voorspellen.
Hoe ze zich verhouden
Een vergelijking naast elkaar van de belangrijkste factoren die dit duel kunnen beslissen. Hoger is beter (behalve bij de FIFA-ranking, waar lager = sterker).
Wat betekenen deze?
- Chemistry — Hoe goed de selectie als eenheid samenspeelt. Denk aan het tiki-taka van Barcelona tegenover een willekeurige verzameling sterren.
- Vertrouwdheid — Hoelang deze spelers al samenspelen. Selecties met jaren gedeelde ervaring lezen elkaars loopacties instinctief.
- Stabiliteit — Hoe consistent het tactische systeem en de opstelling zijn geweest. Veel trainerswissels en experimenten met formaties schaden deze score.
- Moreel — Het huidige zelfvertrouwen en momentum van de selectie. Recente zeges, steun van fans en positieve media dragen er allemaal aan bij.
Iran
Turkey
Selectievergelijking
Belangrijke onderlinge duels
WK-historie
Iran vs Turkey — Veelgestelde vragen
Who is favored to win between Iran and Turkey at the 2026 World Cup?
Iran and Turkey are essentially even. Our AI model gives Iran a slight 44% win probability versus 42% for Turkey, with a 15% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.
What are Iran's strongest attributes versus Turkey?
Iran lead Turkey in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability. Turkey, in turn, have the edge in squad morale.
What is the World Cup history of Iran versus Turkey?
Iran have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Turkey have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Iran's best finish is Group stage; Turkey's best finish is Third place.
Have Iran and Turkey faced each other in major international competition?
Iran and Turkey have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Iran versus Turkey match?
Mehdi Taremi (Iran, Inter Milan, rated 7.5/10) and Kenan Yıldız (Turkey, Juventus, rated 7.1/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Iran or Turkey?
Iran carry the more experienced squad, with 1208 combined senior caps versus 691 for Turkey. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Iran and 6.8 for Turkey.