Samengevat — wie is beter, Iran of Spain?
Spain are favored over Iran at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 45% win probability for Spain versus 35% for Iran (and 20% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Spain's higher squad chemistry, though Iran remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
De kern
Spain hold a slight edge over Iran, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Iran possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their tactical stability translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
Belangrijkste verschillen: Iran vs Spain
- •FIFA Ranking: Spain sit 18 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#2 vs #20).
- •Squad Chemistry: Spain have stronger squad cohesion (86/100 vs 73/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: Spain carry the higher average player rating (7.1 vs 6.6).
- •International Experience: Iran bring more combined caps to the squad (1208 vs 667).
- •World Cup Titles: Spain have won 1 World Cup; Iran have 0.
Wie wint?
Ons AI-model weegt vorm, selectiekwaliteit en teamcohesie om de meest waarschijnlijke uitkomst te voorspellen.
Hoe ze zich verhouden
Een vergelijking naast elkaar van de belangrijkste factoren die dit duel kunnen beslissen. Hoger is beter (behalve bij de FIFA-ranking, waar lager = sterker).
Wat betekenen deze?
- Chemistry — Hoe goed de selectie als eenheid samenspeelt. Denk aan het tiki-taka van Barcelona tegenover een willekeurige verzameling sterren.
- Vertrouwdheid — Hoelang deze spelers al samenspelen. Selecties met jaren gedeelde ervaring lezen elkaars loopacties instinctief.
- Stabiliteit — Hoe consistent het tactische systeem en de opstelling zijn geweest. Veel trainerswissels en experimenten met formaties schaden deze score.
- Moreel — Het huidige zelfvertrouwen en momentum van de selectie. Recente zeges, steun van fans en positieve media dragen er allemaal aan bij.
Iran
Spain
Selectievergelijking
Belangrijke onderlinge duels
WK-historie
Iran vs Spain — Veelgestelde vragen
Who is favored to win between Iran and Spain at the 2026 World Cup?
Spain are favored, with a 45% projected win probability versus 35% for Iran and a 20% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Iran's strongest attributes versus Spain?
Iran do not lead Spain in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Iran will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Spain's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of Iran versus Spain?
Iran have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Spain have appeared in 16 World Cups and won 1 title. Iran's best finish is Group stage; Spain's best finish is Winners.
Have Iran and Spain faced each other in major international competition?
Iran and Spain have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Iran versus Spain match?
Mehdi Taremi (Iran, Inter Milan, rated 7.5/10) and Lamine Yamal (Spain, Barcelona, rated 8.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Iran or Spain?
Iran carry the more experienced squad, with 1208 combined senior caps versus 667 for Spain. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Iran and 7.1 for Spain.