Samengevat — wie is beter, Iran of Serbia?
Iran are favored over Serbia at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 44% win probability for Iran versus 39% for Serbia (and 17% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Iran's higher squad chemistry, though Serbia remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
De kern
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Iran and Serbia are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Belangrijkste verschillen: Iran vs Serbia
- •FIFA Ranking: Iran sit 12 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#20 vs #32).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Iran 73, Serbia 72).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Iran 6.6, Serbia 6.7).
- •International Experience: Iran bring more combined caps to the squad (1208 vs 752).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Wie wint?
Ons AI-model weegt vorm, selectiekwaliteit en teamcohesie om de meest waarschijnlijke uitkomst te voorspellen.
Hoe ze zich verhouden
Een vergelijking naast elkaar van de belangrijkste factoren die dit duel kunnen beslissen. Hoger is beter (behalve bij de FIFA-ranking, waar lager = sterker).
Wat betekenen deze?
- Chemistry — Hoe goed de selectie als eenheid samenspeelt. Denk aan het tiki-taka van Barcelona tegenover een willekeurige verzameling sterren.
- Vertrouwdheid — Hoelang deze spelers al samenspelen. Selecties met jaren gedeelde ervaring lezen elkaars loopacties instinctief.
- Stabiliteit — Hoe consistent het tactische systeem en de opstelling zijn geweest. Veel trainerswissels en experimenten met formaties schaden deze score.
- Moreel — Het huidige zelfvertrouwen en momentum van de selectie. Recente zeges, steun van fans en positieve media dragen er allemaal aan bij.
Iran
Serbia
Selectievergelijking
Belangrijke onderlinge duels
WK-historie
Iran vs Serbia — Veelgestelde vragen
Who is favored to win between Iran and Serbia at the 2026 World Cup?
Iran are favored, with a 44% projected win probability versus 39% for Serbia and a 17% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Iran's strongest attributes versus Serbia?
Iran lead Serbia in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability. Serbia, in turn, have the edge in squad morale.
What is the World Cup history of Iran versus Serbia?
Iran have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Serbia have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Iran's best finish is Group stage; Serbia's best finish is Group stage.
Have Iran and Serbia faced each other in major international competition?
Iran and Serbia have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Iran versus Serbia match?
Mehdi Taremi (Iran, Inter Milan, rated 7.5/10) and Dušan Vlahović (Serbia, Juventus, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Iran or Serbia?
Iran carry the more experienced squad, with 1208 combined senior caps versus 752 for Serbia. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Iran and 6.7 for Serbia.