Samengevat — wie is beter, Haiti of Japan?
Japan are favored over Haiti at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 56% win probability for Japan versus 27% for Haiti (and 17% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Japan's higher squad chemistry, though Haiti remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
De kern
Japan are clear favorites against Haiti based on current form, squad depth, and predictive metrics. Japan's competitive strength and outstanding chemistry give them a significant advantage. Haiti will need a historic performance to overcome the odds.
Belangrijkste verschillen: Haiti vs Japan
- •FIFA Ranking: Japan sit 73 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#13 vs #86).
- •Squad Chemistry: Japan have stronger squad cohesion (82/100 vs 60/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: Japan carry the higher average player rating (6.9 vs 6.5).
- •International Experience: Japan bring more combined caps to the squad (668 vs 435).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Wie wint?
Ons AI-model weegt vorm, selectiekwaliteit en teamcohesie om de meest waarschijnlijke uitkomst te voorspellen.
Hoe ze zich verhouden
Een vergelijking naast elkaar van de belangrijkste factoren die dit duel kunnen beslissen. Hoger is beter (behalve bij de FIFA-ranking, waar lager = sterker).
Wat betekenen deze?
- Chemistry — Hoe goed de selectie als eenheid samenspeelt. Denk aan het tiki-taka van Barcelona tegenover een willekeurige verzameling sterren.
- Vertrouwdheid — Hoelang deze spelers al samenspelen. Selecties met jaren gedeelde ervaring lezen elkaars loopacties instinctief.
- Stabiliteit — Hoe consistent het tactische systeem en de opstelling zijn geweest. Veel trainerswissels en experimenten met formaties schaden deze score.
- Moreel — Het huidige zelfvertrouwen en momentum van de selectie. Recente zeges, steun van fans en positieve media dragen er allemaal aan bij.
Haiti
Japan
Selectievergelijking
Belangrijke onderlinge duels
WK-historie
Haiti vs Japan — Veelgestelde vragen
Who is favored to win between Haiti and Japan at the 2026 World Cup?
Japan are favored, with a 56% projected win probability versus 27% for Haiti and a 17% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Haiti's strongest attributes versus Japan?
Haiti lead Japan in squad morale. Japan, in turn, have the edge in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability.
What is the World Cup history of Haiti versus Japan?
Haiti have appeared in 1 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Japan have appeared in 7 World Cups and won 0 titles. Haiti's best finish is Group stage; Japan's best finish is Round of 16.
Have Haiti and Japan faced each other in major international competition?
Haiti and Japan have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Haiti versus Japan match?
Derrick Étienne Jr. (Haiti, Columbus Crew, rated 7/10) and Takefusa Kubo (Japan, Real Sociedad, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Haiti or Japan?
Japan carry the more experienced squad, with 668 combined senior caps versus 435 for Haiti. Average squad rating is 6.5 for Haiti and 6.9 for Japan.