Samengevat — wie is beter, Haiti of Italy?
Italy are favored over Haiti at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 54% win probability for Italy versus 29% for Haiti (and 17% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Italy's higher squad chemistry, though Haiti remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
De kern
Italy are clear favorites against Haiti based on current form, squad depth, and predictive metrics. Italy's elite ranking and outstanding chemistry give them a significant advantage. Haiti will need a historic performance to overcome the odds.
Belangrijkste verschillen: Haiti vs Italy
- •FIFA Ranking: Italy sit 77 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#9 vs #86).
- •Squad Chemistry: Italy have stronger squad cohesion (74/100 vs 60/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: Italy carry the higher average player rating (7 vs 6.5).
- •International Experience: Italy bring more combined caps to the squad (632 vs 435).
- •World Cup Titles: Italy have won 4 World Cups; Haiti have 0.
Wie wint?
Ons AI-model weegt vorm, selectiekwaliteit en teamcohesie om de meest waarschijnlijke uitkomst te voorspellen.
Hoe ze zich verhouden
Een vergelijking naast elkaar van de belangrijkste factoren die dit duel kunnen beslissen. Hoger is beter (behalve bij de FIFA-ranking, waar lager = sterker).
Wat betekenen deze?
- Chemistry — Hoe goed de selectie als eenheid samenspeelt. Denk aan het tiki-taka van Barcelona tegenover een willekeurige verzameling sterren.
- Vertrouwdheid — Hoelang deze spelers al samenspelen. Selecties met jaren gedeelde ervaring lezen elkaars loopacties instinctief.
- Stabiliteit — Hoe consistent het tactische systeem en de opstelling zijn geweest. Veel trainerswissels en experimenten met formaties schaden deze score.
- Moreel — Het huidige zelfvertrouwen en momentum van de selectie. Recente zeges, steun van fans en positieve media dragen er allemaal aan bij.
Haiti
Italy
Selectievergelijking
Belangrijke onderlinge duels
WK-historie
Haiti vs Italy — Veelgestelde vragen
Who is favored to win between Haiti and Italy at the 2026 World Cup?
Italy are favored, with a 54% projected win probability versus 29% for Haiti and a 17% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Haiti's strongest attributes versus Italy?
Haiti lead Italy in squad morale. Italy, in turn, have the edge in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability.
What is the World Cup history of Haiti versus Italy?
Haiti have appeared in 1 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Italy have appeared in 18 World Cups and won 4 titles. Haiti's best finish is Group stage; Italy's best finish is Winners.
Have Haiti and Italy faced each other in major international competition?
Haiti and Italy have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Haiti versus Italy match?
Derrick Étienne Jr. (Haiti, Columbus Crew, rated 7/10) and Federico Chiesa (Italy, Liverpool, rated 7.3/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Haiti or Italy?
Italy carry the more experienced squad, with 632 combined senior caps versus 435 for Haiti. Average squad rating is 6.5 for Haiti and 7 for Italy.