Samengevat — wie is beter, Germany of Spain?
Germany and Spain are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Spain a slim 42% win probability versus Germany, with a 18% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.0 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.
De kern
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Germany and Spain are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Belangrijkste verschillen: Germany vs Spain
- •FIFA Ranking: Spain sit 1 place higher on the FIFA ranking (#2 vs #3).
- •Squad Chemistry: Spain have stronger squad cohesion (86/100 vs 79/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Germany 7.1, Spain 7.1).
- •International Experience: Germany bring more combined caps to the squad (821 vs 667).
- •World Cup Titles: Germany have won 4 World Cups; Spain have 1.
- •Head-to-Head History: In 25 all-time meetings, Germany have won 9, Spain have won 8, with 8 draws (last result: Spain 2-1 Germany (aet)).
Wie wint?
Ons AI-model weegt vorm, selectiekwaliteit en teamcohesie om de meest waarschijnlijke uitkomst te voorspellen.
Hoe ze zich verhouden
Een vergelijking naast elkaar van de belangrijkste factoren die dit duel kunnen beslissen. Hoger is beter (behalve bij de FIFA-ranking, waar lager = sterker).
Wat betekenen deze?
- Chemistry — Hoe goed de selectie als eenheid samenspeelt. Denk aan het tiki-taka van Barcelona tegenover een willekeurige verzameling sterren.
- Vertrouwdheid — Hoelang deze spelers al samenspelen. Selecties met jaren gedeelde ervaring lezen elkaars loopacties instinctief.
- Stabiliteit — Hoe consistent het tactische systeem en de opstelling zijn geweest. Veel trainerswissels en experimenten met formaties schaden deze score.
- Moreel — Het huidige zelfvertrouwen en momentum van de selectie. Recente zeges, steun van fans en positieve media dragen er allemaal aan bij.
Germany
Spain
Selectievergelijking
Belangrijke onderlinge duels
WK-historie
Onderling aller tijden
25 ontmoetingen · Laatste: Spain 2-1 Germany (aet)
Belangrijke ontmoetingen
Germany vs Spain — Veelgestelde vragen
Who is favored to win between Germany and Spain at the 2026 World Cup?
Germany and Spain are essentially even. Our AI model gives Spain a slight 42% win probability versus 40% for Germany, with a 18% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.
What are Germany's strongest attributes versus Spain?
Germany do not lead Spain in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Germany will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Spain's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of Germany versus Spain?
Germany have appeared in 20 FIFA World Cups and won 4 titles; Spain have appeared in 16 World Cups and won 1 title. Germany's best finish is Winners; Spain's best finish is Winners.
Have Germany and Spain played each other before?
Yes — Germany and Spain have met 25 times in all competitions, including 3 World Cup encounters. Germany have won 9, Spain have won 8, and 8 ended in draws. The most recent meeting was Spain 2-1 Germany (aet).
Which players will define the Germany versus Spain match?
Kai Havertz (Germany, Arsenal, rated 7.4/10) and Lamine Yamal (Spain, Barcelona, rated 8.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Germany or Spain?
Germany carry the more experienced squad, with 821 combined senior caps versus 667 for Spain. Average squad rating is 7.1 for Germany and 7.1 for Spain.