要点 — SpainとUSA、どちらが上か？
Spain are favored over USA at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 45% win probability for Spain versus 39% for USA (and 16% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Spain's higher squad chemistry, though USA remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
結論
Spain hold a slight edge over USA, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, USA possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
主な違い：Spain vs USA
- •FIFA Ranking: Spain sit 9 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#2 vs #11).
- •Squad Chemistry: Spain have stronger squad cohesion (86/100 vs 78/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Spain 7.1, USA 6.9).
- •International Experience: Spain bring more combined caps to the squad (667 vs 661).
- •World Cup Titles: Spain have won 1 World Cup; USA have 0.
どちらが勝つ？
当社のAIモデルは調子、スカッドの質、チームの結束を加味して、最も可能性の高い結果を予想します。
両者の比較
この対戦を左右しうる主要因を並べて比較します。数値は高いほど良好です（FIFAランキングのみ、低いほど強い）。
これらの意味は？
- 連携 — スカッドがひとつのまとまりとしてどれだけうまく機能するか。バルセロナのティキ・タカと、寄せ集めのオールスター集団との違いを思い浮かべてください。
- 熟練度 — これらの選手が一緒にプレーしてきた期間の長さ。長年の共有経験を持つスカッドは、互いの動き出しを本能的に読み合います。
- 安定性 — 戦術システムと先発がどれだけ一貫しているか。頻繁な監督交代やフォーメーションの試行錯誤はこのスコアを下げます。
- モラル — スカッドの現在の自信と勢い。近年の勝利、サポーターの後押し、メディアの好意的な論調がすべて影響します。
Spain
USA
スカッド比較
主要選手の対決
ワールドカップの歴史
Spain vs USA — よくある質問
Who is favored to win between Spain and USA at the 2026 World Cup?
Spain are favored, with a 45% projected win probability versus 39% for USA and a 16% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Spain's strongest attributes versus USA?
Spain lead USA in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability. USA do not lead in any of the four chemistry metrics.
What is the World Cup history of Spain versus USA?
Spain have appeared in 16 FIFA World Cups and won 1 title; USA have appeared in 11 World Cups and won 0 titles. Spain's best finish is Winners; USA's best finish is Semi-finals.
Have Spain and USA faced each other in major international competition?
Spain and USA have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Spain versus USA match?
Lamine Yamal (Spain, Barcelona, rated 8.5/10) and Tim Weah (USA, Juventus, rated 7.1/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Spain or USA?
Spain carry the more experienced squad, with 667 combined senior caps versus 661 for USA. Average squad rating is 7.1 for Spain and 6.9 for USA.